Aberystwyth Town v Llantwit Major Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAberystwyth Town to win ✓66% · @1.40

Double chanceAberystwyth Town or draw ✓85% · @1.08

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01

Aberystwyth Town vs Llantwit Major: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Llantwit Major travel to face Aberystwyth Town on Saturday 22 August in the FAW Championship, with Park Avenue the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Aberystwyth Town are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 11 matches; Llantwit Major are 15th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Aberystwyth Town, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Treowen Stars, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Llantwit Major, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Baglan Dragons, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aberystwyth Town 2.6 xG, Llantwit Major 1.2 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Aberystwyth Town 66%, draw 19%, Llantwit Major 15%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Aberystwyth Town to win (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aberystwyth Town 2–1 Llantwit Major. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aberystwyth Town66%fair 1.51 · @1.40

Draw19%fair 5.30 · @4.00

Llantwit Major15%fair 6.67 · @6.50

3.80Expected goals

2.59Aberystwyth Town xG

1.21Llantwit Major xG

60%Both score

73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

3–18%

2–07%

1–17%

3–06%

1–06%

From our goals model: Aberystwyth Town 2.6 – 1.2 Llantwit Major expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Aberystwyth Town to win ✓	66%	1.51	1.40
Double chance	Aberystwyth Town or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.08
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.66	1.70
Draw no bet	Aberystwyth Town (draw no bet) ✓	82%	1.23	–
Asian handicap	Aberystwyth Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	53%	1.90	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	67%	1.50	–
First team to score	Aberystwyth Town to score first ✓	67%	1.50	–
Half-time result	Aberystwyth Town ahead at half-time ✓	51%	1.97	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Aberystwyth Town / FT Aberystwyth Town ✓	45%	2.23	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.01	–

Aberystwyth Town – last 4

LWLL

8 Aug	vs Treowen Stars	1–2	L
1 Aug	@ Afan Lido	5–2	W
1 Mar	vs Caerau (Ely)	0–4	L
24 Feb	@ Ammanford AFC	1–2	L

1.8Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

75%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Llantwit Major – last 6

LLLLWW

15 Aug	vs Baglan Dragons	0–1	L
7 Aug	@ Afan Lido	0–5	L
1 Aug	vs Swansea University	0–3	L
20 Mar	@ Afan Lido	1–4	L
10 Mar	@ Cwmbran Celtic	3–1	W
6 Mar	@ Pontypridd Town	4–0	W

1.3Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pontypridd Town	13	8	3	2	+13	27
2	Aberystwyth Town	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Swansea University	11	7	3	1	+19	24
4	Caerau (Ely)	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Baglan Dragons	13	6	2	5	0	20
6	Ynyshir Albions	11	5	4	2	+7	19
7	Afan Lido	14	5	3	6	-2	18
8	Trethomas Bluebirds	13	4	5	4	+3	17
9	Treowen Stars	12	5	2	5	-1	17
10	Carmarthen Town	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Pontardawe Town	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Caerphilly Athletic	13	4	2	7	-7	14
13	Newport City	11	3	4	4	+4	13
14	Cardiff Draconians	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Llantwit Major	12	3	3	6	-12	12
16	llanelli AFC	14	0	3	11	-31	3

Team

Pts

+13

+18

+19

-2

-1

-6

-1

-7

-5

-12

-31

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aberystwyth Town vs Llantwit Major?

Our pick is Aberystwyth Town to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Aberystwyth Town vs Llantwit Major?

On our numbers Aberystwyth Town have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Llantwit Major 15%.

How many goals will there be in Aberystwyth Town vs Llantwit Major?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aberystwyth Town vs Llantwit Major?

Our predicted score is Aberystwyth Town 2–1 Llantwit Major, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Aberystwyth Town vs Llantwit Major?

Aberystwyth Town vs Llantwit Major (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Park Avenue.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Aberystwyth Town v Llantwit Major: numbers & prediction