Denbigh Town 69%Draw 19%Gresford Athletic 13%Expected goals 2.63 – 1.09
71%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.28
7/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultDenbigh Town to win69% · @1.36
Double chanceDenbigh Town or draw87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals71% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.94
Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gresford Athletic travel to face Denbigh Town on Friday 13 November in the FAW Championship – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Denbigh Town are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Gresford Athletic are 15th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Denbigh Town, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mold Alexandra, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Gresford Athletic, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–9 defeat to Bangor City 1876 FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Denbigh Town 2.6 xG, Gresford Athletic 1.1 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Denbigh Town 69%, draw 19%, Gresford Athletic 13%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Denbigh Town 2–1 Gresford Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Denbigh Town69%fair 1.45 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @4.40
Gresford Athletic13%fair 7.95 · @5.80
3.72Expected goals
2.63Denbigh Town xG
1.09Gresford Athletic xG
63%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Denbigh Town 2.6 – 1.1 Gresford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Denbigh Town
Gresford Athletic
Attack vs FAW Championship average
+10%
-41%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
+44%
Our expected goals here
2.85
1.17
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Denbigh Town to win
69%
1.45
1.36
Double chance
Denbigh Town or draw
87%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.58
1.44
Draw no bet
Denbigh Town (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Denbigh Town -1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.74
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.39
First team to score
Denbigh Town to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Denbigh Town ahead at half-time
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Denbigh Town / FT Denbigh Town
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Denbigh Town – last 6
DWLWLL
6 Nov
vs Mold Alexandra
2–2
D
31 Oct
@ Llanuwchllyn
4–3
W
16 Oct
vs Bangor City 1876 FC
0–2
L
10 Oct
@ Guilsfield
2–0
W
2 Oct
vs Holyhead Hotspur
2–4
L
26 Sep
@ Brickfield Rangers
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gresford Athletic – last 6
LLLWWD
6 Nov
@ Bangor City 1876 FC
0–9
L
31 Oct
vs Ruthin Town
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Porthmadog
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Penrhyncoch
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Rhyl
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Guilsfield
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Denbigh Town and Gresford Athletic.
What is the prediction for Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic?
On our numbers Denbigh Town have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Gresford Athletic 13%.
How many goals will there be in Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic?
Our predicted score is Denbigh Town 2–1 Gresford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic?
Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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