Swansea University 65%Draw 19%Treowen Stars 16%Expected goals 2.79 – 1.41
75%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultSwansea University to win65% · @1.44
Double chanceSwansea University or draw84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.15
Swansea University vs Treowen Stars: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Treowen Stars travel to face Swansea University on Friday 13 November in the FAW Championship – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Swansea University are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 11 matches; Treowen Stars are 9th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Swansea University, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cardiff Draconians, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Treowen Stars, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Newport City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Swansea University, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Treowen Stars.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Swansea University 2.8 xG, Treowen Stars 1.4 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Swansea University 65%, draw 19%, Treowen Stars 16%.
Lower-risk option: Swansea University or draw (84%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swansea University 2–1 Treowen Stars. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Swansea University65%fair 1.55 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.40
Treowen Stars16%fair 6.11 · @4.80
4.20Expected goals
2.79Swansea University xG
1.41Treowen Stars xG
67%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
1–16%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Swansea University 2.8 – 1.4 Treowen Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Swansea University
Treowen Stars
Attack vs FAW Championship average
+50%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
+13%
Our expected goals here
3.06
1.51
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swansea University to win
65%
1.55
1.44
Double chance
Swansea University or draw
84%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
67%
1.48
1.50
Draw no bet
Swansea University (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Swansea University -0.5 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
92%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.79
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.36
First team to score
Swansea University to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Swansea University ahead at half-time
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swansea University / FT Swansea University
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.15
–
Recent results
Swansea University – last 6
WLDWDW
7 Nov
vs Cardiff Draconians
2–0
W
31 Oct
@ Ynyshir Albions
2–4
L
9 Oct
@ Afan Lido
5–5
D
3 Oct
vs Caerphilly Athletic
3–1
W
25 Sep
@ Aberystwyth Town
0–0
D
11 Sep
vs Pontardawe Town
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Treowen Stars – last 6
DWLLLD
6 Nov
@ Newport City
2–2
D
30 Oct
@ Baglan Dragons
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Trethomas Bluebirds
1–3
L
3 Oct
vs Ynyshir Albions
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Pontardawe Town
1–6
L
12 Sep
vs Llantwit Major
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swansea University and Treowen Stars.
What is the prediction for Swansea University vs Treowen Stars?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Swansea University vs Treowen Stars?
On our numbers Swansea University have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Treowen Stars 16%.
How many goals will there be in Swansea University vs Treowen Stars?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swansea University vs Treowen Stars?
Our predicted score is Swansea University 2–1 Treowen Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Swansea University vs Treowen Stars?
Swansea University vs Treowen Stars (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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