Rhyl 23%Draw 16%Newtown AFC 61%Expected goals 1.07 – 1.96
61%
Betarazi pick
Newtown AFC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewtown AFC to win ✗61% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Rhyl vs Newtown AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newtown AFC travel to face Rhyl on Saturday 24 October in the FAW Championship, with Belle Vue the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Rhyl are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; Newtown AFC are 2nd (among the top four) with 30. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rhyl, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ruthin Town, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Newtown AFC, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Llanuwchllyn, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Newtown AFC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Rhyl.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Mar 2026) it ended Newtown AFC 6–1 Rhyl.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rhyl 1.1 xG, Newtown AFC 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rhyl 23%, draw 16%, Newtown AFC 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Newtown AFC to win (61%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rhyl 1–2 Newtown AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rhyl23%fair 4.27 · @3.25
Draw16%fair 6.43 · @3.80
Newtown AFC61%fair 1.64 · @1.83
3.03Expected goals
1.07Rhyl xG
1.96Newtown AFC xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Rhyl 1.1 – 2.0 Newtown AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Newtown AFC to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
On our numbers Rhyl have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Newtown AFC 61%.
How many goals will there be in Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
Our predicted score is Rhyl 1–2 Newtown AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
Rhyl vs Newtown AFC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Belle Vue.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Baglan Dragons
Aberystwyth Town