Guilsfield v Porthmadog Prediction & Expected Goals (31 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGuilsfield to win ✗43% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52

Guilsfield vs Porthmadog: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 31 October the FAW Championship brings Guilsfield against Porthmadog. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Guilsfield are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Porthmadog are 3rd (among the top four) with 27.

Current form

Guilsfield, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Caersws, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Porthmadog, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Brickfield Rangers, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Porthmadog, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Guilsfield.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guilsfield 1.4 xG, Porthmadog 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Guilsfield 43%, draw 21%, Porthmadog 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guilsfield 1–1 Porthmadog. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guilsfield43%fair 2.32 · @2.20

Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.40

Porthmadog36%fair 2.78 · @2.50

2.67Expected goals

1.41Guilsfield xG

1.26Porthmadog xG

59%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

0–19%

2–19%

1–28%

0–07%

From our goals model: Guilsfield 1.4 – 1.3 Porthmadog expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Guilsfield to win ✗	43%	2.32	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	79%	1.26	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.69	1.50
Draw no bet	Guilsfield (draw no bet)	54%	1.84	–
Asian handicap	Porthmadog +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	50%	2.00	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Guilsfield to score first ✓	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.36	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Guilsfield / FT Guilsfield ✗	24%	4.21	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.52	–

Guilsfield – last 6

DDLWWD

24 Oct	@ Caersws	2–2	D
17 Oct	@ Coedpoeth United	3–3	D
10 Oct	vs Denbigh Town	0–2	L
3 Oct	vs Llanuwchllyn	1–0	W
26 Sep	@ Holyhead Hotspur	2–0	W
12 Sep	vs Gresford Athletic	1–1	D

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Porthmadog – last 6

LLWWWW

24 Oct	vs Brickfield Rangers	0–1	L
16 Oct	@ GAP Connah S Quay FC	0–4	L
10 Oct	@ Gresford Athletic	1–0	W
3 Oct	vs Bangor City 1876 FC	1–0	W
26 Sep	@ Newtown AFC	1–0	W
12 Sep	vs Ruthin Town	3–0	W

1.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

0%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	14	11	1	2	+19	34
2	Newtown AFC	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Porthmadog	14	8	3	3	+7	27
4	Mold Alexandra	13	7	4	2	+15	25
5	Bala Town	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Caersws	13	6	5	2	+10	23
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	13	6	4	3	+15	22
8	Guilsfield	14	4	6	4	+1	18
9	Buckley Town	14	4	3	7	0	15
10	Holyhead Hotspur	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Llanuwchllyn	14	4	3	7	-9	15
12	Denbigh Town	13	4	2	7	-2	14
13	Rhyl	14	2	7	5	-3	13
14	Ruthin Town	13	3	3	7	-12	12
15	Gresford Athletic	12	2	1	9	-26	7
16	Penrhyncoch	13	0	1	12	-34	1

Team

Pts

+19

+19

+15

+10

+15

-3

-9

-2

-3

-12

-26

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guilsfield vs Porthmadog?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Guilsfield vs Porthmadog?

On our numbers Guilsfield have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Porthmadog 36%.

How many goals will there be in Guilsfield vs Porthmadog?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guilsfield vs Porthmadog?

Our predicted score is Guilsfield 1–1 Porthmadog, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Guilsfield vs Porthmadog?

Guilsfield vs Porthmadog (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Guilsfield v Porthmadog: numbers & prediction