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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Llantwit Major v Newport City: numbers & prediction

2–3
FT
Llantwit Major 35%Draw 21%Newport City 44% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.68
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultNewport City to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.30

Llantwit Major vs Newport City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Llantwit Major v Newport City in the FAW Championship. In the table, Llantwit Major are 15th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 12 matches; Newport City are 13th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Llantwit Major, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Caerau (Ely), away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Newport City, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Pontypridd Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Llantwit Major, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Newport City.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Newport City 2–1 Llantwit Major.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Llantwit Major 1.5 xG, Newport City 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Llantwit Major 35%, draw 21%, Newport City 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Llantwit Major 1–1 Newport City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Llantwit Major35%fair 2.85 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
Newport City44%fair 2.30 · @2.05
3.16Expected goals
1.48Llantwit Major xG
1.68Newport City xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: Llantwit Major 1.5 – 1.7 Newport City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNewport City to win ✓44%2.302.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.50
Draw no betNewport City (draw no bet) ✓55%1.81–
Asian handicapLlantwit Major +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
First team to scoreNewport City to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Newport City / FT Newport City ✓26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.30–

Recent results

Llantwit Major – last 6

WLDLWW
23 Oct@ Caerau (Ely)2–0W
17 Oct@ Trefelin1–4L
10 Octvs Pontardawe Town1–1D
6 Oct@ Pontypridd Town1–4L
2 Oct@ Carmarthen Town2–1W
26 Sepvs llanelli AFC2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Newport City – last 6

DWLDDL
23 Octvs Pontypridd Town4–4D
17 Oct@ Carmarthen Town5–4W
9 Oct@ Caerphilly Athletic2–3L
3 Oct@ Cardiff Draconians1–1D
25 Sep@ Afan Lido0–0D
28 Augvs Ynyshir Albions0–1L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Feb 2026Newport City v Llantwit Major2–1
Llantwit Major vs Newport City head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Llantwit Major vs Newport City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Llantwit Major vs Newport City?

On our numbers Llantwit Major have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newport City 44%.

How many goals will there be in Llantwit Major vs Newport City?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Llantwit Major vs Newport City?

Our predicted score is Llantwit Major 1–1 Newport City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Llantwit Major vs Newport City?

Llantwit Major vs Newport City (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.