Afan Lido 26%Draw 24%Aberystwyth Town 50%Expected goals 1.24 – 1.89
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Aberystwyth Town to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAberystwyth Town to win ✓50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 1 August the FAW Championship brings Afan Lido against Aberystwyth Town. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Afan Lido are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Aberystwyth Town are 2nd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Afan Lido, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Cwmbran Celtic, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Afan Lido 1.2 xG, Aberystwyth Town 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Afan Lido 26%, draw 24%, Aberystwyth Town 50%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Aberystwyth Town to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Afan Lido 1–1 Aberystwyth Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Afan Lido26%fair 3.80 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.20
Aberystwyth Town50%fair 2.02 · @2.20
3.13Expected goals
1.24Afan Lido xG
1.89Aberystwyth Town xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
2–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Afan Lido 1.2 – 1.9 Aberystwyth Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Afan Lido
Aberystwyth Town
Attack vs FAW Championship average
-2%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
-34%
Our expected goals here
1.16
1.97
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aberystwyth Town to win✓
50%
2.02
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Draw no bet
Aberystwyth Town (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Afan Lido +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Aberystwyth Town to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Aberystwyth Town ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aberystwyth Town / FT Aberystwyth Town✗
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Afan Lido – last 6
WWWLWW
3 Apr
vs Cwmbran Celtic
4–1
W
23 Mar
@ Treowen Stars
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Llantwit Major
4–1
W
13 Mar
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–4
L
1 Mar
vs Ammanford AFC
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Trethomas Bluebirds
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aberystwyth Town – last 2
LL
1 Mar
vs Caerau (Ely)
0–4
L
24 Feb
@ Ammanford AFC
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Afan Lido and Aberystwyth Town.
What is the prediction for Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town?
On our numbers Afan Lido have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aberystwyth Town 50%.
How many goals will there be in Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town?
Our predicted score is Afan Lido 1–1 Aberystwyth Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town?
Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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