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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ynyshir Albions v Cardiff Draconians: numbers & prediction

Ynyshir Albions 41%Draw 24%Cardiff Draconians 35% Expected goals 1.66 – 1.30
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Ynyshir Albions to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultYnyshir Albions to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79

Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 1 August the FAW Championship brings Ynyshir Albions against Cardiff Draconians. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Ynyshir Albions are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Cardiff Draconians are 14th (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Ynyshir Albions, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Cardiff Draconians, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Cardiff Draconians, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Ynyshir Albions, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Mar 2026) it ended Cardiff Draconians 4–1 Ynyshir Albions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ynyshir Albions 1.7 xG, Cardiff Draconians 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ynyshir Albions 41%, draw 24%, Cardiff Draconians 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Ynyshir Albions to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ynyshir Albions 1–1 Cardiff Draconians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ynyshir Albions41%fair 2.42 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Cardiff Draconians35%fair 2.88 · @2.20
2.96Expected goals
1.66Ynyshir Albions xG
1.30Cardiff Draconians xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Ynyshir Albions 1.7 – 1.3 Cardiff Draconians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ynyshir AlbionsCardiff Draconians
Attack vs FAW Championship average+4%-21%
Goals conceded vs average-12%-3%
Our expected goals here1.811.15

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYnyshir Albions to win ✓41%2.422.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.44
Draw no betYnyshir Albions (draw no bet) ✓54%1.84–
Asian handicapCardiff Draconians +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.53–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreYnyshir Albions to score first ✓53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ynyshir Albions / FT Ynyshir Albions ✗28%3.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.79–

Recent results

Ynyshir Albions – last 4

LWLL
24 Mar@ Cardiff Draconians1–4L
6 Mar@ Cwmbran Celtic3–1W
24 Febvs Llantwit Major2–3L
20 Feb@ Trefelin0–2L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Cardiff Draconians – last 4

WLLL
24 Marvs Ynyshir Albions4–1W
6 Mar@ Ammanford AFC1–2L
4 Mar@ Trefelin1–3L
21 Feb@ Treowen Stars0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Mar 2026Cardiff Draconians v Ynyshir Albions4–1
Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians?

On our numbers Ynyshir Albions have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cardiff Draconians 35%.

How many goals will there be in Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians?

Our predicted score is Ynyshir Albions 1–1 Cardiff Draconians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians?

Ynyshir Albions vs Cardiff Draconians (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.