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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Afan Lido v Newport City: numbers & prediction

0–0
FT
Afan Lido 32%Draw 21%Newport City 47% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.79
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultNewport City to win ✗47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.98

Afan Lido vs Newport City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 25 September the FAW Championship brings Afan Lido against Newport City. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Afan Lido are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Newport City are 13th (lower half) with 13.

Current form

Afan Lido, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pontypridd Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Newport City, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ynyshir Albions, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Afan Lido 0–1 Newport City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Afan Lido 1.4 xG, Newport City 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Afan Lido 32%, draw 21%, Newport City 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Afan Lido 1–1 Newport City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Afan Lido32%fair 3.10 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Newport City47%fair 2.14 · @2.25
3.23Expected goals
1.44Afan Lido xG
1.79Newport City xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%

From our goals model: Afan Lido 1.4 – 1.8 Newport City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNewport City to win ✗47%2.142.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.511.50
Draw no betNewport City (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapAfan Lido +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
First team to scoreNewport City to score first ✗53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT Newport City / FT Newport City ✗28%3.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.98–

Recent results

Afan Lido – last 6

WLDLWL
11 Sep@ Pontypridd Town1–0W
4 Sep@ Baglan Dragons1–2L
31 Augvs Ynyshir Albions0–0D
28 Aug@ Trethomas Bluebirds2–5L
21 Augvs Pontardawe Town1–0W
14 Aug@ Carmarthen Town1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Newport City – last 6

LLWLWL
28 Augvs Ynyshir Albions0–1L
21 Augvs Baglan Dragons0–1L
15 Aug@ Pontardawe Town4–0W
8 Augvs Carmarthen Town1–2L
31 Jul@ llanelli AFC4–1W
8 Julvs Newport County0–5L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Afan Lido v Newport City0–1
Afan Lido vs Newport City head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Afan Lido vs Newport City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Afan Lido vs Newport City?

On our numbers Afan Lido have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newport City 47%.

How many goals will there be in Afan Lido vs Newport City?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Afan Lido vs Newport City?

Our predicted score is Afan Lido 1–1 Newport City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Afan Lido vs Newport City?

Afan Lido vs Newport City (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.