Baglan Dragons 32%Draw 22%Carmarthen Town 46%Expected goals 1.47 – 1.80
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultCarmarthen Town to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.03
Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Friday 25 September: Baglan Dragons v Carmarthen Town in the FAW Championship. In the table, Baglan Dragons are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Carmarthen Town are 10th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Baglan Dragons, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cardiff Draconians, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Carmarthen Town, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ynyshir Albions, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Baglan Dragons, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Carmarthen Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baglan Dragons 1.5 xG, Carmarthen Town 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baglan Dragons 32%, draw 22%, Carmarthen Town 46%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baglan Dragons 1–1 Carmarthen Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baglan Dragons32%fair 3.12 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.20
Carmarthen Town46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
3.27Expected goals
1.47Baglan Dragons xG
1.80Carmarthen Town xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Baglan Dragons 1.5 – 1.8 Carmarthen Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carmarthen Town to win✓
46%
2.16
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.53
1.57
Draw no bet
Carmarthen Town (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Baglan Dragons +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Carmarthen Town to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carmarthen Town / FT Carmarthen Town✓
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.03
–
Recent results
Baglan Dragons – last 6
LWLWWW
12 Sep
@ Cardiff Draconians
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Afan Lido
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Caerphilly Athletic
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Caerau (Ely)
3–1
W
21 Aug
@ Newport City
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Llantwit Major
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Carmarthen Town – last 6
DLDLWW
12 Sep
vs Ynyshir Albions
2–2
D
31 Aug
vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ llanelli AFC
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Treowen Stars
2–4
L
14 Aug
vs Afan Lido
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Newport City
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baglan Dragons and Carmarthen Town.
What is the prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town?
On our numbers Baglan Dragons have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Carmarthen Town 46%.
How many goals will there be in Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town?
Our predicted score is Baglan Dragons 1–1 Carmarthen Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town?
Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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