Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Trethomas Bluebirds to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTrethomas Bluebirds to win ✗42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Ynyshir Albions vs Trethomas Bluebirds: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the FAW Championship brings Ynyshir Albions against Trethomas Bluebirds. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Ynyshir Albions are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Trethomas Bluebirds are 8th (upper half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ynyshir Albions, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Carmarthen Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Trethomas Bluebirds, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Caerphilly Athletic, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ynyshir Albions 1.5 xG, Trethomas Bluebirds 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ynyshir Albions 39%, draw 20%, Trethomas Bluebirds 42%.
Price worth noting: Trethomas Bluebirds to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ynyshir Albions 1–2 Trethomas Bluebirds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ynyshir Albions39%fair 2.59 · @2.20
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.70
Trethomas Bluebirds42%fair 2.40 · @2.55
2.99Expected goals
1.46Ynyshir Albions xG
1.53Trethomas Bluebirds xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Ynyshir Albions 1.5 – 1.5 Trethomas Bluebirds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trethomas Bluebirds to win✗
42%
2.40
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Trethomas Bluebirds (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Ynyshir Albions +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Trethomas Bluebirds to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trethomas Bluebirds / FT Trethomas Bluebirds✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.64
–
Recent results
Ynyshir Albions – last 6
DDWLDW
12 Sep
@ Carmarthen Town
2–2
D
31 Aug
@ Afan Lido
0–0
D
28 Aug
@ Newport City
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Caerphilly Athletic
1–2
L
7 Aug
@ Caerau (Ely)
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Cardiff Draconians
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Trethomas Bluebirds – last 6
DWWLLD
4 Sep
vs Caerphilly Athletic
2–2
D
31 Aug
@ Carmarthen Town
3–2
W
28 Aug
vs Afan Lido
5–2
W
21 Aug
@ Pontypridd Town
1–2
L
14 Aug
vs Caerau (Ely)
2–4
L
7 Aug
@ llanelli AFC
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ynyshir Albions and Trethomas Bluebirds.
What is the prediction for Ynyshir Albions vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
On our numbers Ynyshir Albions have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Trethomas Bluebirds 42%.
How many goals will there be in Ynyshir Albions vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ynyshir Albions vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Our predicted score is Ynyshir Albions 1–2 Trethomas Bluebirds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ynyshir Albions vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Ynyshir Albions vs Trethomas Bluebirds (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
