Value bet: Tapatío to win @ 2.35 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTapatío to win ✓46% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Tapatío vs CDS Tampico Madero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tapatío welcome CDS Tampico Madero to Estadio Akron for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Sunday 2 August (00:00 WAT). In the table, Tapatío are 11th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; CDS Tampico Madero are 14th (in the drop zone) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tapatío, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cruz Azul Hidalgo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
CDS Tampico Madero, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Piratas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours CDS Tampico Madero, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Tapatío.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tapatío 1.7 xG, CDS Tampico Madero 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tapatío 46%, draw 24%, CDS Tampico Madero 30%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Tapatío to win @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tapatío 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tapatío46%fair 2.19 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.35
CDS Tampico Madero30%fair 3.35 · @2.88
2.81Expected goals
1.65Tapatío xG
1.16CDS Tampico Madero xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Tapatío 1.7 – 1.2 CDS Tampico Madero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tapatío
CDS Tampico Madero
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+4%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.87
1.12
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tapatío to win✓
46%
2.19
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.73
Draw no bet
Tapatío (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
CDS Tampico Madero +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
Tapatío to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tapatío / FT Tapatío✓
30%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Tapatío – last 6
DLLDLL
27 Jul
vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0–0
D
3 Jul
@ Leon
2–4
L
27 Apr
@ Cancún
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Cancún
1–1
D
18 Apr
@ Dorados
1–3
L
12 Apr
vs Irapuato
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CDS Tampico Madero – last 6
DLLLDW
26 Jul
vs Piratas
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Club America
0–2
L
24 May
@ Tepatitlán
1–3
L
17 May
@ Tepatitlán
0–1
L
4 May
@ Cancún
1–1
D
1 May
vs Cancún
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tapatío and CDS Tampico Madero.
What is the prediction for Tapatío vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tapatío vs CDS Tampico Madero?
On our numbers Tapatío have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CDS Tampico Madero 30%.
How many goals will there be in Tapatío vs CDS Tampico Madero?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tapatío vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our predicted score is Tapatío 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tapatío vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Tapatío vs CDS Tampico Madero (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
