Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.20
Piratas vs Monarcas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Sunday 2 August: Piratas v Monarcas in the Liga De Expansión MX. In the table, Piratas are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 15 matches; Monarcas are 3rd (among the top four) with 26. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Monarcas, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over CA La Paz, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piratas 1.6 xG, Monarcas 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piratas 44%, draw 26%, Monarcas 31%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piratas 1–1 Monarcas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piratas44%fair 2.29 · @2.35
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.15
Monarcas31%fair 3.26 · @3.05
2.69Expected goals
1.60Piratas xG
1.09Monarcas xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Piratas 1.6 – 1.1 Monarcas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Piratas
Monarcas
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
+12%
-0%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.76
0.90
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piratas to win✓
44%
2.29
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Draw no bet
Piratas (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Monarcas +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.07
First team to score
Piratas to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piratas / FT Piratas✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.20
–
Recent results
Piratas – last 1
D
26 Jul
@ CDS Tampico Madero
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Monarcas – last 6
WDLWLL
26 Jul
vs CA La Paz
4–2
W
5 Jul
vs Cruz Azul
3–3
D
20 Jun
@ Necaxa
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
2–0
W
23 Apr
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
0–3
L
20 Apr
@ CDS Tampico Madero
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piratas and Monarcas.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Piratas vs Monarcas?
On our numbers Piratas have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Monarcas 31%.
How many goals will there be in Piratas vs Monarcas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piratas vs Monarcas?
Our predicted score is Piratas 1–1 Monarcas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Piratas vs Monarcas?
Piratas vs Monarcas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
