Venados FC vs Tepatitlán: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tepatitlán travel to face Venados FC on Sunday 13 September in the Liga De Expansión MX, with Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Venados FC are 6th, upper half, on 25 points after 15 matches; Tepatitlán are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Venados FC, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to CDS Tampico Madero, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Tepatitlán, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Dorados, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Venados FC, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Tepatitlán.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Tepatitlán 2–0 Venados FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Venados FC 3.0 xG, Tepatitlán 1.3 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 80% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Venados FC 68%, draw 20%, Tepatitlán 11%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Venados FC to win (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Venados FC 2–1 Tepatitlán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Venados FC68%fair 1.46 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.00
Tepatitlán11%fair 9.00 · @5.50
4.29Expected goals
2.98Venados FC xG
1.31Tepatitlán xG
62%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
2–06%
3–06%
4–16%
1–15%
From our goals model: Venados FC 3.0 – 1.3 Tepatitlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Venados FC vs Tepatitlán?
Our pick is Venados FC to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Venados FC vs Tepatitlán?
On our numbers Venados FC have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tepatitlán 11%.
How many goals will there be in Venados FC vs Tepatitlán?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venados FC vs Tepatitlán?
Our predicted score is Venados FC 2–1 Tepatitlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Venados FC vs Tepatitlán?
Venados FC vs Tepatitlán (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
