CA La Paz 68%Draw 18%Correcaminos Uat 14%Expected goals 2.53 – 1.10
68%
Betarazi pick
CA La Paz to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultCA La Paz to win ✓68% · @1.53
Double chanceCA La Paz or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
CA La Paz vs Correcaminos Uat: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
04:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: CA La Paz v Correcaminos Uat in the Liga De Expansión MX, played at Estadio Guaycura. In the table, CA La Paz are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 15 matches; Correcaminos Uat are 12th (lower half) with 17. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CA La Paz, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Leones Negros UDG, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Correcaminos Uat, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cancún, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CA La Paz, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Correcaminos Uat.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CA La Paz 2.5 xG, Correcaminos Uat 1.1 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CA La Paz 68%, draw 18%, Correcaminos Uat 14%.
Lower-risk option: CA La Paz or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CA La Paz to win (68%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: CA La Paz 2–1 Correcaminos Uat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CA La Paz68%fair 1.47 · @1.53
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @4.33
Correcaminos Uat14%fair 7.15 · @4.50
3.63Expected goals
2.53CA La Paz xG
1.10Correcaminos Uat xG
66%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: CA La Paz 2.5 – 1.1 Correcaminos Uat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CA La Paz to win✓
68%
1.47
1.53
Double chance
CA La Paz or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Draw no bet
CA La Paz (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
CA La Paz -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
First team to score
CA La Paz to score first
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
CA La Paz ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
CA La Paz – last 6
DWWDWW
13 Sep
@ Leones Negros UDG
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ Cancún
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Piratas
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Tepatitlán
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Correcaminos Uat – last 6
DLDWLW
12 Sep
vs Cancún
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Piratas
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Durango
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ Monarcas
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Tapatío
2–3
L
7 Aug
@ Leones Negros UDG
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CA La Paz and Correcaminos Uat.
What is the prediction for CA La Paz vs Correcaminos Uat?
Our pick is CA La Paz to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win CA La Paz vs Correcaminos Uat?
On our numbers CA La Paz have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Correcaminos Uat 14%.
How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Correcaminos Uat?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs Correcaminos Uat?
Our predicted score is CA La Paz 2–1 Correcaminos Uat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is CA La Paz vs Correcaminos Uat?
CA La Paz vs Correcaminos Uat (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
