Piratas 65%Draw 23%Venados FC 13%Expected goals 2.35 – 1.03
65%
Betarazi pick
Piratas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultPiratas to win ✓65% · @1.55
Double chancePiratas or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.33
Piratas vs Venados FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Piratas v Venados FC in the Liga De Expansión MX. In the table, Piratas are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 15 matches; Venados FC are 6th (upper half) with 25. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Piratas, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cruz Azul Hidalgo, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Venados FC, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Tepatitlán, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piratas 2.4 xG, Venados FC 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piratas 65%, draw 23%, Venados FC 13%.
Lower-risk option: Piratas or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Piratas to win (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piratas 2–1 Venados FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piratas65%fair 1.55 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.00
Venados FC13%fair 7.91 · @4.60
3.38Expected goals
2.35Piratas xG
1.03Venados FC xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Piratas 2.4 – 1.0 Venados FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piratas to win✓
65%
1.55
1.55
Double chance
Piratas or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Draw no bet
Piratas (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Piratas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
First team to score
Piratas to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Piratas ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piratas / FT Piratas✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Piratas – last 6
DWDLLW
11 Sep
@ Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Correcaminos Uat
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ Leones Negros UDG
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Cancún
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ CA La Paz
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Durango
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Venados FC – last 6
WLLWLW
13 Sep
vs Tepatitlán
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ CDS Tampico Madero
3–4
L
29 Aug
@ Tlaxcala
1–3
L
21 Aug
vs Dorados
4–2
W
15 Aug
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
1–5
L
9 Aug
vs Tapatío
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piratas and Venados FC.
Our pick is Piratas to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Piratas vs Venados FC?
On our numbers Piratas have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Venados FC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Piratas vs Venados FC?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piratas vs Venados FC?
Our predicted score is Piratas 2–1 Venados FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Piratas vs Venados FC?
Piratas vs Venados FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
