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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tepatitlán v CDS Tampico Madero: numbers & prediction

3–1
FT
Tepatitlán 12%Draw 21%CDS Tampico Madero 67% Expected goals 0.89 – 2.27
67%
Betarazi pick

CDS Tampico Madero to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultCDS Tampico Madero to win ✗67% · @1.53
Double chanceCDS Tampico Madero or draw ✗88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.29

Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tepatitlán welcome CDS Tampico Madero for a Liga De Expansión MX fixture on Saturday 3 October (02:00 WAT). In the table, Tepatitlán are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 15 matches; CDS Tampico Madero are 14th (in the drop zone) with 15.

Current form

Tepatitlán, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mineros de Zacatecas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

CDS Tampico Madero, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Correcaminos Uat, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours CDS Tampico Madero, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Tepatitlán.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Tepatitlán 3–1 CDS Tampico Madero. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tepatitlán 2 wins, CDS Tampico Madero 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tepatitlán 0.9 xG, CDS Tampico Madero 2.3 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tepatitlán 12%, draw 21%, CDS Tampico Madero 67%.
  • Lower-risk option: CDS Tampico Madero or draw (88%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was CDS Tampico Madero to win (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tepatitlán 0–2 CDS Tampico Madero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tepatitlán12%fair 8.49 · @4.50
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @4.33
CDS Tampico Madero67%fair 1.49 · @1.53
3.16Expected goals
0.89Tepatitlán xG
2.27CDS Tampico Madero xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Tepatitlán 0.9 – 2.3 CDS Tampico Madero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCDS Tampico Madero to win ✗67%1.491.53
Double chanceCDS Tampico Madero or draw ✗88%1.131.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.62
Draw no betCDS Tampico Madero (draw no bet) ✗85%1.18–
Asian handicapCDS Tampico Madero -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreCDS Tampico Madero to score first69%1.45–
Half-time resultCDS Tampico Madero ahead at half-time ✗50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT CDS Tampico Madero / FT CDS Tampico Madero ✗45%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.29–

Recent results

Tepatitlán – last 6

LLLLWL
19 Sepvs Mineros de Zacatecas0–1L
13 Sep@ Venados FC0–5L
4 Sepvs Dorados1–4L
29 Aug@ Cruz Azul Hidalgo0–6L
21 Augvs Tlaxcala3–2W
14 Aug@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca0–1L
0.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

CDS Tampico Madero – last 6

LDLWLW
26 Sep@ Correcaminos Uat0–1L
20 Sepvs Dorados1–1D
12 Sep@ Tlaxcala1–3L
6 Sepvs Venados FC4–3W
30 Aug@ Mineros de Zacatecas0–2L
23 Augvs Alebrijes de Oaxaca2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Tepatitlán v CDS Tampico Madero3–1
17 May 2026Tepatitlán v CDS Tampico Madero1–0
Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

More Liga De Expansión MX predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Our pick is CDS Tampico Madero to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?

On our numbers Tepatitlán have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CDS Tampico Madero 67%.

How many goals will there be in Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Our predicted score is Tepatitlán 0–2 CDS Tampico Madero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampico Madero (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.