CA La Paz 61%Draw 19%Venados FC 21%Expected goals 2.48 – 1.42
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultCA La Paz to win ✗61% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31
CA La Paz vs Venados FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Venados FC travel to face CA La Paz on Saturday 3 October in the Liga De Expansión MX, with Estadio Guaycura the venue – the ball rolls at 04:00 WAT. In the table, CA La Paz are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 15 matches; Venados FC are 6th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
CA La Paz, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Alebrijes de Oaxaca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Venados FC, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Monarcas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours CA La Paz, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Venados FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CA La Paz 2.5 xG, Venados FC 1.4 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CA La Paz 61%, draw 19%, Venados FC 21%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: CA La Paz 2–1 Venados FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CA La Paz61%fair 1.65 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @4.50
Venados FC21%fair 4.87 · @4.50
3.90Expected goals
2.48CA La Paz xG
1.42Venados FC xG
67%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: CA La Paz 2.5 – 1.4 Venados FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CA La Paz to win✗
61%
1.65
1.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Draw no bet
CA La Paz (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
CA La Paz -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
First team to score
CA La Paz to score first
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
CA La Paz ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.31
–
Recent results
CA La Paz – last 6
WWDWWD
25 Sep
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Correcaminos Uat
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Leones Negros UDG
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ Cancún
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Venados FC – last 6
WLWLLW
27 Sep
vs Monarcas
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Piratas
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Tepatitlán
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ CDS Tampico Madero
3–4
L
29 Aug
@ Tlaxcala
1–3
L
21 Aug
vs Dorados
4–2
W
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CA La Paz and Venados FC.
What is the prediction for CA La Paz vs Venados FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win CA La Paz vs Venados FC?
On our numbers CA La Paz have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Venados FC 21%.
How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Venados FC?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs Venados FC?
Our predicted score is CA La Paz 2–1 Venados FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is CA La Paz vs Venados FC?
CA La Paz vs Venados FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
