Mineros de Zacatecas 42%Draw 21%Cancún 37%Expected goals 1.78 – 1.67
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Cancún to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMineros de Zacatecas to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.91
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cancún travel to face Mineros de Zacatecas on Sunday 11 October in the Liga De Expansión MX, with Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Mineros de Zacatecas are 10th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Cancún are 5th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
Mineros de Zacatecas, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Durango, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cancún, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tapatío, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Cancún 4–1 Mineros de Zacatecas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mineros de Zacatecas 1.8 xG, Cancún 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mineros de Zacatecas 42%, draw 21%, Cancún 37%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Cancún to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mineros de Zacatecas 1–1 Cancún. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mineros de Zacatecas42%fair 2.41 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Cancún37%fair 2.70 · @3.00
3.45Expected goals
1.78Mineros de Zacatecas xG
1.67Cancún xG
66%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–15%
From our goals model: Mineros de Zacatecas 1.8 – 1.7 Cancún expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mineros de Zacatecas to win✗
42%
2.41
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.65 ▲
Draw no bet
Mineros de Zacatecas (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Cancún +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
First team to score
Mineros de Zacatecas to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mineros de Zacatecas / FT Mineros de Zacatecas✗
What is the prediction for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún?
On our numbers Mineros de Zacatecas have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cancún 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún?
Our predicted score is Mineros de Zacatecas 1–1 Cancún, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún?
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Cancún (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
