Value bet: Piratas to win @ 3.65 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCDS Tampico Madero to win ✗47% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82
CDS Tampico Madero vs Piratas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the Liga De Expansión MX brings CDS Tampico Madero against Piratas at Estadio Tamaulipas. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, CDS Tampico Madero are 14th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 15 matches; Piratas are 4th (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
CDS Tampico Madero, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Club America, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CDS Tampico Madero 1.3 xG, Piratas 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CDS Tampico Madero 47%, draw 24%, Piratas 30%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Piratas to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: CDS Tampico Madero 1–1 Piratas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CDS Tampico Madero47%fair 2.15 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.70
Piratas30%fair 3.39 · @3.65
2.60Expected goals
1.35CDS Tampico Madero xG
1.25Piratas xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: CDS Tampico Madero 1.3 – 1.2 Piratas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
CDS Tampico Madero
Piratas
Attack vs Liga De Expansión MX average
-23%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-26%
Our expected goals here
1.05
1.32
Our own ratings from every Liga De Expansión MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CDS Tampico Madero to win✗
47%
2.15
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.60
Draw no bet
CDS Tampico Madero (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Piratas +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.15
First team to score
CDS Tampico Madero to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CDS Tampico Madero / FT CDS Tampico Madero✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.82
–
Recent results
CDS Tampico Madero – last 6
LLLDWW
5 Jul
vs Club America
0–2
L
24 May
@ Tepatitlán
1–3
L
17 May
@ Tepatitlán
0–1
L
4 May
@ Cancún
1–1
D
1 May
vs Cancún
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ CA La Paz
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Piratas
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CDS Tampico Madero and Piratas.
What is the prediction for CDS Tampico Madero vs Piratas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win CDS Tampico Madero vs Piratas?
On our numbers CDS Tampico Madero have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Piratas 30%.
How many goals will there be in CDS Tampico Madero vs Piratas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CDS Tampico Madero vs Piratas?
Our predicted score is CDS Tampico Madero 1–1 Piratas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CDS Tampico Madero vs Piratas?
CDS Tampico Madero vs Piratas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tamaulipas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
