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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Piratas v Correcaminos Uat: numbers & prediction

Piratas

DLLWW
4–1
FT
Piratas 61%Draw 23%Correcaminos Uat 16% Expected goals 1.84 – 0.83
61%
Betarazi pick

Piratas to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultPiratas to win ✓61% · @1.62
Double chancePiratas or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28

Piratas vs Correcaminos Uat: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Correcaminos Uat travel to face Piratas on Sunday 6 September in the Liga De Expansión MX – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Piratas are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 15 matches; Correcaminos Uat are 12th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

Piratas, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leones Negros UDG, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Correcaminos Uat, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Durango, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Correcaminos Uat, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Piratas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Piratas 1.8 xG, Correcaminos Uat 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Piratas 61%, draw 23%, Correcaminos Uat 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Piratas or draw (84%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Piratas to win (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piratas 1–0 Correcaminos Uat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Piratas61%fair 1.65 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.60
Correcaminos Uat16%fair 6.27 · @4.60
2.67Expected goals
1.84Piratas xG
0.83Correcaminos Uat xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Piratas 1.8 – 0.8 Correcaminos Uat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPiratas to win ✓61%1.651.62
Double chancePiratas or draw ✓84%1.191.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.75
Draw no betPiratas (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapPiratas -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scorePiratas to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultPiratas ahead at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Piratas / FT Piratas ✓39%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.28–

Recent results

Piratas – last 6

DLLWWD
30 Aug@ Leones Negros UDG1–1D
23 Augvs Cancún0–1L
15 Aug@ CA La Paz0–2L
8 Aug@ Durango3–0W
2 Augvs Monarcas1–0W
26 Jul@ CDS Tampico Madero0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Correcaminos Uat – last 6

DWLWWD
29 Augvs Durango0–0D
21 Aug@ Monarcas3–1W
15 Augvs Tapatío2–3L
7 Aug@ Leones Negros UDG3–1W
1 Augvs Tepatitlán3–1W
25 Jul@ Mineros de Zacatecas3–3D
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Piratas and Correcaminos Uat.

Piratas vs Correcaminos Uat head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

More Liga De Expansión MX predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Piratas vs Correcaminos Uat?

Our pick is Piratas to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Piratas vs Correcaminos Uat?

On our numbers Piratas have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Correcaminos Uat 16%.

How many goals will there be in Piratas vs Correcaminos Uat?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Piratas vs Correcaminos Uat?

Our predicted score is Piratas 1–0 Correcaminos Uat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Piratas vs Correcaminos Uat?

Piratas vs Correcaminos Uat (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.