Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultPiratas to win ✗67% · @1.25
Double chancePiratas or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Piratas vs Tapatío: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Piratas v Tapatío in the Liga De Expansión MX. In the table, Piratas are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 15 matches; Tapatío are 11th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Piratas, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Dorados, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tapatío, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Monarcas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Piratas, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Tapatío.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piratas 2.3 xG, Tapatío 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piratas 67%, draw 18%, Tapatío 15%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Piratas to win (67%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piratas 2–0 Tapatío. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piratas67%fair 1.48 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @5.50
Tapatío15%fair 6.80 · @8.50
3.25Expected goals
2.29Piratas xG
0.96Tapatío xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Piratas 2.3 – 1.0 Tapatío expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piratas to win✗
67%
1.48
1.25
Double chance
Piratas or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Draw no bet
Piratas (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Piratas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Piratas to score first
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Piratas ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piratas / FT Piratas✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Piratas – last 6
WWLWLW
25 Oct
@ Dorados
5–0
W
18 Oct
vs Tepatitlán
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ Tlaxcala
2–4
L
4 Oct
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
4–0
W
25 Sep
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Venados FC
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Tapatío – last 6
LLWLLW
26 Oct
vs Monarcas
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Durango
0–5
L
14 Oct
vs Tepatitlán
4–1
W
10 Oct
vs CA La Paz
2–4
L
4 Oct
@ Cancún
0–1
L
21 Sep
vs Tlaxcala
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piratas and Tapatío.
Our pick is Piratas to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Piratas vs Tapatío?
On our numbers Piratas have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tapatío 15%.
How many goals will there be in Piratas vs Tapatío?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piratas vs Tapatío?
Our predicted score is Piratas 2–0 Tapatío, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Piratas vs Tapatío?
Piratas vs Tapatío (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
