Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlbion FC to win ✗47% · @2.08
Double chanceAlbion FC or draw ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Albion FC vs Danubio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 1 August: Albion FC v Danubio in the Primera División Apertura, played at Estadio Luis Franzini. In the table, Albion FC are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Danubio are 14th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Albion FC, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Juventud, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Danubio, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico Torque, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Albion FC, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Danubio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albion FC 1.4 xG, Danubio 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albion FC 47%, draw 27%, Danubio 26%.
Lower-risk option: Albion FC or draw (74%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Albion FC or draw (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albion FC 1–0 Danubio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albion FC47%fair 2.15 · @2.08
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.10
Danubio26%fair 3.81 · @3.50
2.29Expected goals
1.38Albion FC xG
0.91Danubio xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Albion FC 1.4 – 0.9 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Albion FC
Danubio
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
+10%
-33%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.39
0.84
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albion FC to win✗
47%
2.15
2.08
Double chance
Albion FC or draw✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Albion FC (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Danubio +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Albion FC to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albion FC / FT Albion FC✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.40
–
Recent results
Albion FC – last 6
LDWLDW
17 Jul
vs Juventud
0–1
L
10 Jul
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Progreso
2–1
W
31 May
vs Atletico Torque
1–2
L
17 May
vs Wanderers
0–0
D
4 May
vs Club Nacional
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Danubio – last 6
LDDDLL
24 Jul
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Club Nacional
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Juventud
1–1
D
5 Jun
@ Wanderers
0–0
D
30 May
vs Progreso
1–2
L
18 May
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albion FC and Danubio.
Our pick is Albion FC or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Albion FC vs Danubio?
On our numbers Albion FC have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Danubio 26%.
How many goals will there be in Albion FC vs Danubio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albion FC vs Danubio?
Our predicted score is Albion FC 1–0 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Albion FC vs Danubio?
Albion FC vs Danubio (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
