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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Yarud Mariupol' v Inhulets: numbers & prediction

Persha Liga · Ukraine · Kolos Stadium

Yarud Mariupol'

WDDWW
4–1
FT

Inhulets

LLWWD
Yarud Mariupol' 56%Draw 23%Inhulets 21% Expected goals 1.56 – 0.81
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultYarud Mariupol' to win ✓56% · @1.84
Double chanceYarud Mariupol' or draw ✓79% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.86

Yarud Mariupol' vs Inhulets: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Inhulets travel to face Yarud Mariupol' on Saturday 17 October in the Persha Liga, with Kolos Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Yarud Mariupol' are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 15 matches; Inhulets are 10th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Yarud Mariupol', last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over UCSA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Inhulets, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ahrobiznes Volochysk, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Yarud Mariupol' 1–1 Inhulets.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yarud Mariupol' 1.6 xG, Inhulets 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Yarud Mariupol' 56%, draw 23%, Inhulets 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Yarud Mariupol' or draw (79%) at 1.21.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.92.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yarud Mariupol' 1–0 Inhulets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yarud Mariupol'56%fair 1.78 · @1.84
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.27
Inhulets21%fair 4.83 · @3.98
2.37Expected goals
1.56Yarud Mariupol' xG
0.81Inhulets xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Yarud Mariupol' 1.6 – 0.8 Inhulets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYarud Mariupol' to win ✓56%1.781.84
Double chanceYarud Mariupol' or draw ✓79%1.261.21
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.92
Draw no betYarud Mariupol' (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapInhulets +1 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.461.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.761.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.291.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.121.08
First team to scoreYarud Mariupol' to score first ✓60%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Yarud Mariupol' / FT Yarud Mariupol' ✓33%3.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.86–

Recent results

Yarud Mariupol' – last 6

WDDWWL
11 Oct@ UCSA2–1W
5 Octvs Nyva Ternopil0–0D
27 Sep@ Oleksandria1–1D
20 Sepvs Polissya II2–1W
13 Sep@ Probiy Horodenka2–0W
9 Sepvs Zorya Luhansk0–2L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Inhulets – last 6

LLWWDW
10 Octvs Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–1L
3 Oct@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka0–1L
26 Sepvs Prykarpattia2–1W
12 Sepvs Metal Kharkiv1–0W
4 Sep@ SK Poltava0–0D
29 Aug@ UCSA2–1W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Yarud Mariupol' v Inhulets1–1
Yarud Mariupol' vs Inhulets head-to-head page →

Persha Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka15942+1031
2Yarud Mariupol'15843+928
3Oleksandria15762+927
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk14824+626
5Kulykiv15744+1125
6SK Poltava15735+1124
7Nyva Ternopil15573+622
8Metal Kharkiv15636+321
9Lokomotiv Kyiv15555020
10Inhulets14536-418
11Prykarpattia15456-517
12UCSA15366-515
13Kolos Kovalivka II14419-1413
14Probiy Horodenka15258-2011
15Chernihiv12246-610
16Polissya II15168-119

More Persha Liga predictions

League hub
FT Ahrobiznes Volochysk1 Metal Kharkiv0 156%1.91X22%2.90222%3.80 1.7–0.9xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.00 ✗
FT Kolos Kovalivka II0 UCSA0 158%1.85X22%3.25220%3.50 1.9–1.1xG 1XKolos Kovalivka II or draw 80%@1.25 ✓
FT SK Poltava4 Prykarpattia0 164%1.72X23%3.37214%4.48 1.7–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yarud Mariupol' vs Inhulets?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Yarud Mariupol' vs Inhulets?

On our numbers Yarud Mariupol' have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Inhulets 21%.

How many goals will there be in Yarud Mariupol' vs Inhulets?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yarud Mariupol' vs Inhulets?

Our predicted score is Yarud Mariupol' 1–0 Inhulets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Yarud Mariupol' vs Inhulets?

Yarud Mariupol' vs Inhulets (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Kolos Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.