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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

SK Poltava v Prykarpattia: numbers & prediction

Persha Liga · Ukraine · Lokomotyv Stadium
4–0
FT
SK Poltava 64%Draw 23%Prykarpattia 14% Expected goals 1.74 – 0.65
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: SK Poltava to win @ 1.72 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSK Poltava to win ✓64% · @1.72
Double chanceSK Poltava or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13

SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: SK Poltava v Prykarpattia in the Persha Liga, played at Lokomotyv Stadium. In the table, SK Poltava are 6th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; Prykarpattia are 11th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

SK Poltava, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Probiy Horodenka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Prykarpattia, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chernihiv, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give SK Poltava 1.7 xG, Prykarpattia 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – SK Poltava 64%, draw 23%, Prykarpattia 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: SK Poltava or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: SK Poltava to win @1.72 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: SK Poltava 1–0 Prykarpattia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

SK Poltava64%fair 1.56 · @1.72
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.37
Prykarpattia14%fair 7.40 · @4.48
2.38Expected goals
1.74SK Poltava xG
0.65Prykarpattia xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: SK Poltava 1.7 – 0.6 Prykarpattia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSK Poltava to win ✓64%1.561.72 ▲
Double chanceSK Poltava or draw ✓86%1.161.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.961.91
Draw no betSK Poltava (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapSK Poltava -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.791.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.291.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.08
First team to scoreSK Poltava to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultSK Poltava ahead at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT SK Poltava / FT SK Poltava ✓40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.13–

Recent results

SK Poltava – last 6

LWLWLD
10 Oct@ Probiy Horodenka2–3L
2 Octvs Chernihiv3–2W
26 Sep@ Kulykiv1–2L
20 Sepvs Metal Kharkiv3–0W
12 Sep@ Lokomotiv Kyiv1–2L
4 Sepvs Inhulets0–0D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Prykarpattia – last 6

LDLWLW
11 Octvs Chernihiv0–1L
3 Octvs Metal Kharkiv0–0D
26 Sep@ Inhulets1–2L
20 Sepvs UCSA1–0W
16 Sepvs FC Kharkiv0–2L
13 Sep@ Nyva Ternopil2–1W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between SK Poltava and Prykarpattia.

SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia head-to-head page →

Persha Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka15942+1031
2Yarud Mariupol'15843+928
3Oleksandria15762+927
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk14824+626
5Kulykiv15744+1125
6SK Poltava15735+1124
7Nyva Ternopil15573+622
8Metal Kharkiv15636+321
9Lokomotiv Kyiv15555020
10Inhulets14536-418
11Prykarpattia15456-517
12UCSA15366-515
13Kolos Kovalivka II14419-1413
14Probiy Horodenka15258-2011
15Chernihiv12246-610
16Polissya II15168-119

More Persha Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia?

On our numbers SK Poltava have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Prykarpattia 14%.

How many goals will there be in SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia?

Our predicted score is SK Poltava 1–0 Prykarpattia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia?

SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Lokomotyv Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.