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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gzira United v Valletta FC: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Malta · Centenary Stadium
0–3
FT
Gzira United 15%Draw 23%Valletta FC 61% Expected goals 1.24 – 2.46
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.38Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 58% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultValletta FC to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceValletta FC or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.80

Gzira United vs Valletta FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gzira United welcome Valletta FC to Centenary Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 23 August (17:30 WAT). In the table, Gzira United are 12th on 5 points after 12 matches; Valletta FC are 1st with 25. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gzira United, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Birkirkara, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Valletta FC, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Zabbar St. Patrick, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Valletta FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Gzira United.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Valletta FC 2–1 Gzira United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Gzira United 0 wins, Valletta FC 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gzira United 1.2 xG, Valletta FC 2.5 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gzira United 15%, draw 23%, Valletta FC 61%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.38 – longer than our fair 1.28, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gzira United 1–2 Valletta FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gzira United15%fair 6.61 · @4.80
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.30
Valletta FC61%fair 1.63 · @1.70
3.71Expected goals
1.24Gzira United xG
2.46Valletta FC xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–38%
1–18%
0–27%
0–36%
0–16%

From our goals model: Gzira United 1.2 – 2.5 Valletta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValletta FC to win ✓61%1.631.70
Double chanceValletta FC or draw ✓85%1.181.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.95 ▲
Draw no betValletta FC (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapValletta FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.38 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.742.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.591.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
First team to scoreValletta FC to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultValletta FC ahead at half-time ✗48%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valletta FC / FT Valletta FC ✗42%2.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.80–

Recent results

Gzira United – last 6

LLLLWD
17 Aug@ Birkirkara0–4L
23 May@ Valletta FC1–2L
30 Aprvs Floriana0–1L
19 Apr@ Marsaxlokk1–2L
15 Apr@ Hamrun Spartans1–0W
4 Aprvs Naxxar Lions1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Valletta FC – last 6

WLLWDW
16 Augvs Zabbar St. Patrick4–2W
30 Julvs Raków Częstochowa0–4L
23 Jul@ Raków Częstochowa1–3L
23 Mayvs Gzira United2–1W
15 Apr@ Naxxar Lions1–1D
8 Marvs Tarxien Rainbows3–1W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Valletta FC v Gzira United2–1
13 Feb 2026Gzira United v Valletta FC0–2
Gzira United vs Valletta FC head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gzira United vs Valletta FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Gzira United vs Valletta FC?

On our numbers Gzira United have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valletta FC 61%.

How many goals will there be in Gzira United vs Valletta FC?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gzira United vs Valletta FC?

Our predicted score is Gzira United 1–2 Valletta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Gzira United vs Valletta FC?

Gzira United vs Valletta FC (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Centenary Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.