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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Floriana v Balzan FC: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Malta · Victor Tedesco Stadium
1–1
FT
Floriana 57%Draw 23%Balzan FC 20% Expected goals 1.88 – 1.02
57%
Betarazi pick

Floriana to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultFloriana to win ✗57% · @1.73
Double chanceFloriana or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Floriana vs Balzan FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Balzan FC travel to face Floriana on Sunday 11 October in the Premier League, with Victor Tedesco Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:00 WAT. In the table, Floriana are 6th on 16 points after 12 matches; Balzan FC are 10th with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Floriana, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Hibernians, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Balzan FC, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sliema Wanderers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Floriana 1.9 xG, Balzan FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Floriana 57%, draw 23%, Balzan FC 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Floriana or draw (80%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Floriana to win (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Floriana 1–0 Balzan FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Floriana57%fair 1.74 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
Balzan FC20%fair 5.00 · @4.00
2.90Expected goals
1.88Floriana xG
1.02Balzan FC xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Floriana 1.9 – 1.0 Balzan FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFloriana to win ✗57%1.741.73
Double chanceFloriana or draw ✓80%1.251.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.94–
Draw no betFloriana (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapBalzan FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreFloriana to score first ✗61%1.63–
Half-time resultFloriana ahead at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Floriana / FT Floriana ✗36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Floriana – last 6

WLLWDW
20 Sep@ Hibernians4–0W
12 Sepvs Marsaxlokk2–5L
7 Sepvs Valletta FC0–2L
2 Sepvs Gzira United4–1W
29 Aug@ Hamrun Spartans1–1D
21 Augvs Sliema Wanderers2–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Balzan FC – last 6

DDWWLD
20 Sepvs Sliema Wanderers0–0D
13 Sep@ Valletta FC2–2D
5 Sepvs Birzebbuga3–0W
29 Augvs Gzira United2–1W
23 Aug@ Mosta1–2L
14 Augvs Marsaxlokk1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Floriana and Balzan FC.

Floriana vs Balzan FC head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Floriana vs Balzan FC?

Our pick is Floriana to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Floriana vs Balzan FC?

On our numbers Floriana have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Balzan FC 20%.

How many goals will there be in Floriana vs Balzan FC?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Floriana vs Balzan FC?

Our predicted score is Floriana 1–0 Balzan FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Floriana vs Balzan FC?

Floriana vs Balzan FC (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Victor Tedesco Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.