Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultHamrun Spartans to win ✗67% · @1.55
Double chanceHamrun Spartans or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Hamrun Spartans v Hibernians in the Premier League, played at Tony Bezzina Stadium. In the table, Hamrun Spartans are 5th on 18 points after 12 matches; Hibernians are 4th with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hamrun Spartans, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Marsaxlokk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Hibernians, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Floriana, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Hamrun Spartans, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Hibernians.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Feb 2026) it ended Hibernians 0–1 Hamrun Spartans.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hamrun Spartans 1.9 xG, Hibernians 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hamrun Spartans 67%, draw 21%, Hibernians 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hamrun Spartans to win (67%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamrun Spartans 1–0 Hibernians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hamrun Spartans67%fair 1.49 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.00
Hibernians12%fair 8.55 · @4.50
2.61Expected goals
1.94Hamrun Spartans xG
0.67Hibernians xG
44%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hamrun Spartans 1.9 – 0.7 Hibernians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians?
Our pick is Hamrun Spartans to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians?
On our numbers Hamrun Spartans have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hibernians 12%.
How many goals will there be in Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians?
Our predicted score is Hamrun Spartans 1–0 Hibernians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians?
Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
