Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Birkirkara vs Floriana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 22 October the Premier League brings Birkirkara against Floriana at Tony Bezzina Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Birkirkara are 7th on 16 points after 12 matches; Floriana are 6th with 16. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Birkirkara, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Marsaxlokk, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Floriana, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Mosta, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Floriana, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Birkirkara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Birkirkara 1.2 xG, Floriana 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Birkirkara 31%, draw 21%, Floriana 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birkirkara 1–2 Floriana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Birkirkara31%fair 3.24 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Floriana48%fair 2.10 · @2.10
2.81Expected goals
1.22Birkirkara xG
1.59Floriana xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Birkirkara 1.2 – 1.6 Floriana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Floriana to win✗
48%
2.10
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Floriana (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Birkirkara +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Floriana to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Floriana / FT Floriana✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.76
–
Recent results
Birkirkara – last 6
LLWDLL
16 Oct
@ Marsaxlokk
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Valletta FC
0–2
L
18 Sep
@ Zabbar St. Patrick
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Hibernians
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Sliema Wanderers
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Mosta
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Floriana – last 6
DDWLLW
18 Oct
vs Mosta
3–3
D
11 Oct
vs Balzan FC
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Hibernians
4–0
W
12 Sep
vs Marsaxlokk
2–5
L
7 Sep
vs Valletta FC
0–2
L
2 Sep
vs Gzira United
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birkirkara and Floriana.
What is the prediction for Birkirkara vs Floriana?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Birkirkara vs Floriana?
On our numbers Birkirkara have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Floriana 48%.
How many goals will there be in Birkirkara vs Floriana?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birkirkara vs Floriana?
Our predicted score is Birkirkara 1–2 Floriana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Birkirkara vs Floriana?
Birkirkara vs Floriana (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
