Hibernians 61%Draw 22%Gzira United 17%Expected goals 1.77 – 0.79
83%
Betarazi pick
Hibernians or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Hibernians to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHibernians to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceHibernians or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.45
Hibernians vs Gzira United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gzira United travel to face Hibernians on Thursday 22 October in the Premier League, with Tony Bezzina Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Hibernians are 4th on 19 points after 12 matches; Gzira United are 12th with 5. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hibernians, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Birzebbuga, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Gzira United, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Hamrun Spartans, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended Gzira United 3–2 Hibernians.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hibernians 1.8 xG, Gzira United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hibernians 61%, draw 22%, Gzira United 17%.
Lower-risk option: Hibernians or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Hibernians to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hibernians or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hibernians 1–0 Gzira United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hibernians61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Gzira United17%fair 5.98 · @3.60
2.56Expected goals
1.77Hibernians xG
0.79Gzira United xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hibernians 1.8 – 0.8 Gzira United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hibernians vs Gzira United?
Our pick is Hibernians or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hibernians vs Gzira United?
On our numbers Hibernians have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gzira United 17%.
How many goals will there be in Hibernians vs Gzira United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hibernians vs Gzira United?
Our predicted score is Hibernians 1–0 Gzira United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hibernians vs Gzira United?
Hibernians vs Gzira United (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
