Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVenda Nova to win ✓57% · @1.73
Double chanceVenda Nova or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Inter de Minas travel to face Venda Nova on Friday 9 October in the Mineiro 3 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Venda Nova are 4th on 4 points after 3 matches; Inter de Minas are 5th with 3. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Venda Nova, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Novo Esporte Clube, away. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Inter de Minas, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 7–1 win over Santarritense, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Venda Nova, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Inter de Minas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Venda Nova 2.1 xG, Inter de Minas 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Venda Nova 57%, draw 25%, Inter de Minas 18%.
Lower-risk option: Venda Nova or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Venda Nova to win (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Venda Nova 2–1 Inter de Minas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Venda Nova57%fair 1.76 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.50
Inter de Minas18%fair 5.45 · @4.00
3.25Expected goals
2.10Venda Nova xG
1.16Inter de Minas xG
51%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Venda Nova 2.1 – 1.2 Inter de Minas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Venda Nova to win✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Double chance
Venda Nova or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Venda Nova (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Inter de Minas +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Venda Nova to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Venda Nova ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Venda Nova / FT Venda Nova✓
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Venda Nova – last 3
DWW
3 Oct
@ Novo Esporte Clube
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Santarritense
8–0
W
19 Sep
vs Nova Lavras
2–1
W
3.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Inter de Minas – last 3
WLL
2 Oct
vs Santarritense
7–1
W
25 Sep
vs Nacional AC MG
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Novo Esporte Clube
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venda Nova and Inter de Minas.
What is the prediction for Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas?
Our pick is Venda Nova to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas?
On our numbers Venda Nova have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Inter de Minas 18%.
How many goals will there be in Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas?
Our predicted score is Venda Nova 2–1 Inter de Minas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas?
Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas (Mineiro 3) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
