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Zeljeznicar Sarajevo v BSK Banja Luka: numbers & prediction

Premijer Liga · Bosnia · Stadion Grbavica
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 31%Draw 36%BSK Banja Luka 33% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.45
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗36% · @2.95
Double chanceBSK Banja Luka or draw ✗69% · @1.45
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.39

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs BSK Banja Luka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 7 August the Premijer Liga brings Zeljeznicar Sarajevo against BSK Banja Luka at Stadion Grbavica. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo are 6th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; BSK Banja Luka are 5th (upper half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Sloboda Tuzla, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

BSK Banja Luka, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kozara Gradiška, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours BSK Banja Luka, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1.3 xG, BSK Banja Luka 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 31%, draw 36%, BSK Banja Luka 33%.
  • Lower-risk option: BSK Banja Luka or draw (69%) at 1.45.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.42, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1–1 BSK Banja Luka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo31%fair 3.26 · @2.55
Draw36%fair 2.75 · @2.95
BSK Banja Luka33%fair 3.04 · @2.70
2.79Expected goals
1.34Zeljeznicar Sarajevo xG
1.45BSK Banja Luka xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%

From our goals model: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1.3 – 1.4 BSK Banja Luka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗36%2.752.95 ▲
Double chanceBSK Banja Luka or draw ✗69%1.441.45
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.95 ▲
Draw no betBSK Banja Luka (draw no bet) ✗52%1.93–
Asian handicapZeljeznicar Sarajevo +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.341.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreBSK Banja Luka to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT BSK Banja Luka / FT BSK Banja Luka ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12%8.39–

Recent results

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo – last 6

LLLDLW
1 Augvs Sloboda Tuzla0–3L
18 Jul@ Karpaty0–4L
25 May@ FK Sarajevo0–1L
21 Mayvs Siroki Brijeg2–2D
1 May@ Zrinjski0–2L
21 Apr@ Rudar Prijedor1–0W
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

BSK Banja Luka – last 5

LLWLW
30 May@ Kozara Gradiška1–3L
8 Apr@ Omarska0–1L
5 Apr@ FK Romanija Pale1–0W
15 Mar@ Slavija0–1L
7 Marvs Velež Nevesinje3–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and BSK Banja Luka.

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs BSK Banja Luka head-to-head page →

Premijer Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zrinjski131111+2434
2Borac Banja Luka121011+1731
3FK Sarajevo13553+320
4Siroki Brijeg13454-117
5BSK Banja Luka13445-116
6Zeljeznicar Sarajevo13346-813
7Velež12336-812
8Čelik13256-611
9Radnik Bijeljina13256-711
10Sloga Doboj13238-139

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs BSK Banja Luka?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs BSK Banja Luka?

On our numbers Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 36% and BSK Banja Luka 33%.

How many goals will there be in Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs BSK Banja Luka?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs BSK Banja Luka?

Our predicted score is Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1–1 BSK Banja Luka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs BSK Banja Luka?

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs BSK Banja Luka (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Grbavica.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.