Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultVelež to win ✗38% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.12
Čelik vs Velež: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 28 August: Čelik v Velež in the Premijer Liga, played at Bilino Polje. In the table, Čelik are 8th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 13 matches; Velež are 7th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Čelik, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Borac Banja Luka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Velež, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sloga Doboj, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Čelik 1.3 xG, Velež 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Čelik 38%, draw 25%, Velež 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Čelik 1–1 Velež. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Čelik38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.88
Velež38%fair 2.64 · @2.75
2.67Expected goals
1.33Čelik xG
1.34Velež xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Čelik 1.3 – 1.3 Velež expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velež to win✗
38%
2.64
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Velež (draw no bet)✗
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Čelik +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Velež to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Velež / FT Velež✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.12
–
Recent results
Čelik – last 6
LLLDWW
23 Aug
@ Borac Banja Luka
0–2
L
14 Aug
vs Siroki Brijeg
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Zrinjski
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ GOŠK Gabela
1–1
D
31 May
vs Igman Konjic
4–0
W
24 May
vs Radnik Hadžići
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Velež – last 6
WLLLLW
22 Aug
vs Sloga Doboj
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ BSK Banja Luka
0–2
L
9 Aug
@ Borac Banja Luka
1–3
L
30 Jul
vs Dunajska Streda
0–3
L
23 Jul
@ Dunajska Streda
0–1
L
16 Jul
@ Milsami Orhei
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Čelik and Velež.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Čelik vs Velež?
On our numbers Čelik have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Velež 38%.
How many goals will there be in Čelik vs Velež?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Čelik vs Velež?
Our predicted score is Čelik 1–1 Velež, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Čelik vs Velež?
Čelik vs Velež (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Bilino Polje.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
