Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sloga Doboj to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSloga Doboj to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceSloga Doboj or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Sloga Doboj vs Čelik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sloga Doboj welcome Čelik to Stadion Luke for a Premijer Liga fixture on Tuesday 1 September (17:30 WAT). In the table, Sloga Doboj are 10th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Čelik are 8th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sloga Doboj, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over BSK Banja Luka, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Čelik, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Velež, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sloga Doboj, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Čelik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sloga Doboj 1.6 xG, Čelik 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sloga Doboj 59%, draw 26%, Čelik 15%.
Lower-risk option: Sloga Doboj or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Sloga Doboj to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sloga Doboj 1–0 Čelik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sloga Doboj59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.25
Čelik15%fair 6.78 · @3.95
2.21Expected goals
1.57Sloga Doboj xG
0.64Čelik xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sloga Doboj 1.6 – 0.6 Čelik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sloga Doboj to win✗
59%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sloga Doboj or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.91
Draw no bet
Sloga Doboj (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Čelik +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Sloga Doboj to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sloga Doboj / FT Sloga Doboj✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Sloga Doboj – last 6
WLDWWL
29 Aug
@ BSK Banja Luka
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Velež
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Siroki Brijeg
0–0
D
26 May
vs Rudar Prijedor
1–0
W
22 May
@ Posušje
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ FK Sarajevo
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Čelik – last 6
WLLLDW
28 Aug
vs Velež
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ Borac Banja Luka
0–2
L
14 Aug
vs Siroki Brijeg
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Zrinjski
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ GOŠK Gabela
1–1
D
31 May
vs Igman Konjic
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sloga Doboj and Čelik.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sloga Doboj vs Čelik?
On our numbers Sloga Doboj have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Čelik 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sloga Doboj vs Čelik?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sloga Doboj vs Čelik?
Our predicted score is Sloga Doboj 1–0 Čelik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sloga Doboj vs Čelik?
Sloga Doboj vs Čelik (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Luke.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
