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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Velež v Radnik Bijeljina: numbers & prediction

Premijer Liga · Bosnia · Stadion Rodjeni

Velež

LWLLL
1–1
FT
Velež 59%Draw 21%Radnik Bijeljina 20% Expected goals 1.78 – 0.90
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultVelež to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceVelež or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Wednesday 2 September: Velež v Radnik Bijeljina in the Premijer Liga, played at Stadion Rodjeni. In the table, Velež are 7th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Radnik Bijeljina are 9th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Velež, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Čelik, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Radnik Bijeljina, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Borac Banja Luka, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Velež 1–0 Radnik Bijeljina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Velež 1.8 xG, Radnik Bijeljina 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Velež 59%, draw 21%, Radnik Bijeljina 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Velež or draw (80%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Velež 1–1 Radnik Bijeljina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Velež59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.20
Radnik Bijeljina20%fair 5.04 · @4.10
2.68Expected goals
1.78Velež xG
0.90Radnik Bijeljina xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: Velež 1.8 – 0.9 Radnik Bijeljina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVelež to win ✗59%1.691.83 ▲
Double chanceVelež or draw ✓80%1.251.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.95 ▲
Draw no betVelež (draw no bet)75%1.34–
Asian handicapRadnik Bijeljina +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.421.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.16–
First team to scoreVelež to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultVelež ahead at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Velež / FT Velež ✗36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

Velež – last 6

LWLLLL
28 Aug@ Čelik0–3L
22 Augvs Sloga Doboj2–0W
16 Aug@ BSK Banja Luka0–2L
9 Aug@ Borac Banja Luka1–3L
30 Julvs Dunajska Streda0–3L
23 Jul@ Dunajska Streda0–1L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Radnik Bijeljina – last 6

DLLDLW
30 Augvs Borac Banja Luka2–2D
22 Aug@ Siroki Brijeg1–2L
16 Augvs Zrinjski1–5L
8 Aug@ FK Sarajevo0–0D
18 Jul@ Ujpest0–2L
11 Jul@ Napredak1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026Velež v Radnik Bijeljina1–0
Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina head-to-head page →

Premijer Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zrinjski131111+2434
2Borac Banja Luka121011+1731
3FK Sarajevo13553+320
4Siroki Brijeg13454-117
5BSK Banja Luka13445-116
6Zeljeznicar Sarajevo13346-813
7Velež12336-812
8Čelik13256-611
9Radnik Bijeljina13256-711
10Sloga Doboj13238-139

More Premijer Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?

On our numbers Velež have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Radnik Bijeljina 20%.

How many goals will there be in Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Our predicted score is Velež 1–1 Radnik Bijeljina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodjeni.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.