Čelik vs FK Sarajevo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Premijer Liga brings Čelik against FK Sarajevo at Bilino Polje. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Čelik are 8th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 13 matches; FK Sarajevo are 3rd (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
Čelik, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
FK Sarajevo, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sloga Doboj, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Čelik 0.9 xG, FK Sarajevo 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Čelik 29%, draw 23%, FK Sarajevo 48%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.91, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Čelik 1–1 FK Sarajevo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Čelik29%fair 3.44 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
FK Sarajevo48%fair 2.10 · @2.00
2.13Expected goals
0.88Čelik xG
1.25FK Sarajevo xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Čelik 0.9 – 1.2 FK Sarajevo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Sarajevo to win✗
48%
2.10
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Draw no bet
FK Sarajevo (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Čelik +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
FK Sarajevo to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Sarajevo / FT FK Sarajevo✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.25
–
Recent results
Čelik – last 6
DWLDWL
18 Sep
@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1–1
D
11 Sep
vs Radnik Bijeljina
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ BSK Banja Luka
2–3
L
1 Sep
@ Sloga Doboj
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Velež
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ Borac Banja Luka
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FK Sarajevo – last 6
WLLWWL
20 Sep
vs Sloga Doboj
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Velež
0–1
L
9 Sep
@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Borac Banja Luka
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Siroki Brijeg
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Zrinjski
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Čelik and FK Sarajevo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Čelik vs FK Sarajevo?
On our numbers Čelik have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FK Sarajevo 48%.
How many goals will there be in Čelik vs FK Sarajevo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Čelik vs FK Sarajevo?
Our predicted score is Čelik 1–1 FK Sarajevo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Čelik vs FK Sarajevo?
Čelik vs FK Sarajevo (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Bilino Polje.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
