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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Velež v Siroki Brijeg: numbers & prediction

Premijer Liga · Bosnia · Stadion Rodjeni

Velež

LWLDL
0–0
FT
Velež 48%Draw 23%Siroki Brijeg 29% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.03
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultVelež to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.16

Velež vs Siroki Brijeg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Siroki Brijeg travel to face Velež on Friday 9 October in the Premijer Liga, with Stadion Rodjeni the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Velež are 7th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Siroki Brijeg are 4th (among the top four) with 17.

Current form

Velež, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Zrinjski, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Siroki Brijeg, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Borac Banja Luka, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Velež 3–0 Siroki Brijeg. The last 2 head-to-heads: Velež 1 win, Siroki Brijeg 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Velež 1.4 xG, Siroki Brijeg 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Velež 48%, draw 23%, Siroki Brijeg 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Velež 1–1 Siroki Brijeg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Velež48%fair 2.07 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Siroki Brijeg29%fair 3.46 · @3.40
2.46Expected goals
1.43Velež xG
1.03Siroki Brijeg xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–09%
0–09%

From our goals model: Velež 1.4 – 1.0 Siroki Brijeg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVelež to win ✗48%2.072.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.82–
Draw no betVelež (draw no bet)63%1.60–
Asian handicapSiroki Brijeg +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreVelež to score first ✗53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Velež / FT Velež ✗27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.16–

Recent results

Velež – last 6

LWLDLW
19 Sep@ Zrinjski0–2L
13 Sepvs FK Sarajevo1–0W
6 Sep@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1–3L
2 Sepvs Radnik Bijeljina1–1D
28 Aug@ Čelik0–3L
22 Augvs Sloga Doboj2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Siroki Brijeg – last 6

LDLLDW
20 Sepvs Borac Banja Luka2–3L
12 Sepvs BSK Banja Luka1–1D
6 Sep@ Zrinjski1–2L
2 Sepvs FK Sarajevo1–2L
29 Aug@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1–1D
22 Augvs Radnik Bijeljina2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Apr 2026Velež v Siroki Brijeg3–0
15 Feb 2026Siroki Brijeg v Velež1–0
Velež vs Siroki Brijeg head-to-head page →

Premijer Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zrinjski131111+2434
2Borac Banja Luka121011+1731
3FK Sarajevo13553+320
4Siroki Brijeg13454-117
5BSK Banja Luka13445-116
6Zeljeznicar Sarajevo13346-813
7Velež12336-812
8Čelik13256-611
9Radnik Bijeljina13256-711
10Sloga Doboj13238-139

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Velež vs Siroki Brijeg?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Velež vs Siroki Brijeg?

On our numbers Velež have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Siroki Brijeg 29%.

How many goals will there be in Velež vs Siroki Brijeg?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Velež vs Siroki Brijeg?

Our predicted score is Velež 1–1 Siroki Brijeg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Velež vs Siroki Brijeg?

Velež vs Siroki Brijeg (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodjeni.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.