Wednesday 11 November 2026 19 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cadiz v AD Ceuta FC: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World · Estadio El Palmar

Cadiz

LWWLW
1–3
FT

AD Ceuta FC

LWWDD
Cadiz 45%Draw 22%AD Ceuta FC 33% Expected goals 1.69 – 1.16
53%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds
1

Value bet: Cadiz to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCadiz to win ✗45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44

Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cadiz welcome AD Ceuta FC to Estadio El Palmar for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Wednesday 29 July (19:00 WAT).

Current form

Cadiz, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Leicester, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

AD Ceuta FC, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sevilla, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Mar 2026) it ended AD Ceuta FC 2–1 Cadiz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cadiz 1.7 xG, AD Ceuta FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cadiz 45%, draw 22%, AD Ceuta FC 33%.
  • Price worth noting: Cadiz to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cadiz 2–1 AD Ceuta FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cadiz45%fair 2.23 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.60
AD Ceuta FC33%fair 3.05 · @2.38
2.85Expected goals
1.69Cadiz xG
1.16AD Ceuta FC xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Cadiz 1.7 – 1.2 AD Ceuta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CadizAD Ceuta FC
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+20%+8%
Goals conceded vs average-14%-9%
Our expected goals here2.001.03

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCadiz to win ✗45%2.232.38 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.29–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Draw no betCadiz (draw no bet) ✗58%1.73–
Asian handicapAD Ceuta FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreCadiz to score first56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cadiz / FT Cadiz ✗30%3.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.44–

Recent results

Cadiz – last 6

LWWLWL
22 Julvs Leicester0–1L
18 Jul@ Orlando Pirates2–1W
15 Jul@ Barbate7–0W
31 May@ Racing Santander1–4L
24 Mayvs Leganes3–0W
8 Mayvs Deportivo La Coruna0–1L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AD Ceuta FC – last 6

LWWDDL
26 Jul@ Sevilla1–2L
30 Mayvs Albacete1–0W
24 May@ FC Andorra2–0W
9 Mayvs Castellón1–1D
10 Aprvs Real Sociedad II0–0D
5 Apr@ Eibar0–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Mar 2026AD Ceuta FC v Cadiz2–1
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Tottenham1 Sydney1 Pens 4–2 164%1.27X20%6.50216%7.90 1.7–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 58%@2.25 ✓
FT Cerezo Osaka1 Borussia Dortmund0 115%6.50X21%4.75264%1.42 1.0–2.1xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.45 ✗
FT Cremonese1 Cittadella1 162%1.25X21%5.50217%8.00 1.8–0.9xG 1Cremonese to win 62%@1.25 ✗
FT Palermo1 Iraklis 19081 161%1.57X23%3.60216%5.00 2.1–1.0xG 1Palermo to win 61%@1.57 ✗
FT Saint Etienne4 Lausanne0 146%2.00X22%3.50232%3.00 2.0–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.62 ✓
FT Real Sociedad II0 Eibar1 133%2.75X25%3.25242%2.25 1.3–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 51%@1.95 ✗
FT Forest Green3 Bristol City2 149%1.55X22%4.00228%4.80 1.7–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.65 ✓
FT Boston United0 Grimsby0 128%2.88X24%3.60247%2.10 1.0–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 52%@1.57 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?

On our numbers Cadiz have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AD Ceuta FC 33%.

How many goals will there be in Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?

Our predicted score is Cadiz 2–1 AD Ceuta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?

Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 29 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Palmar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.