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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Australia v Brazil: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Accor Stadium

Australia

DDDLW
2–4
FT

Brazil

DLWWW
Australia 9%Draw 20%Brazil 71% Expected goals 0.78 – 2.35
71%
Betarazi pick

Brazil to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultBrazil to win ✓71% · @1.33
Double chanceBrazil or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.60

Australia vs Brazil: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Tuesday 29 September: Australia v Brazil in the Friendlies, played at Accor Stadium.

Current form

Australia, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Brazil, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Brazil, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Australia, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Brazil, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Australia.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Sep 2026) it ended Australia 1–1 Brazil.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Australia 0.8 xG, Brazil 2.3 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Australia 9%, draw 20%, Brazil 71%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Brazil to win (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Australia 0–2 Brazil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Australia9%fair 11.01 · @7.00
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @4.60
Brazil71%fair 1.42 · @1.33
3.13Expected goals
0.78Australia xG
2.35Brazil xG
56%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%
0–110%
1–29%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%

From our goals model: Australia 0.8 – 2.3 Brazil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBrazil to win ✓71%1.421.33
Double chanceBrazil or draw ✓91%1.101.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.75
Draw no betBrazil (draw no bet) ✓89%1.13–
Asian handicapBrazil -1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.26–
First team to scoreBrazil to score first72%1.40–
Half-time resultBrazil ahead at half-time ✗53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Brazil / FT Brazil ✗48%2.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.60–

Recent results

Australia – last 6

DDDLWD
25 Sepvs Brazil1–1D
3 Julvs Egypt1–1D
26 Jun@ Paraguay0–0D
19 Jun@ USA0–2L
14 Junvs Türkiye2–0W
6 Jun@ Switzerland1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Brazil – last 6

DLWWWD
25 Sep@ Australia1–1D
5 Julvs Norway1–2L
29 Junvs Japan2–1W
24 Jun@ Scotland3–0W
20 Junvs Haiti3–0W
13 Junvs Morocco1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Sep 2026Australia v Brazil1–1
Australia vs Brazil head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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FT Serbia U190 Hungary U194 160%1.75X23%3.30217%3.90 1.7–0.8xG 1XSerbia U19 or draw 83%@1.20 ✗
FT Russia2 Iran0 157%1.82X21%3.48222%4.20 1.8–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Australia vs Brazil?

Our pick is Brazil to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Australia vs Brazil?

On our numbers Australia have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Brazil 71%.

How many goals will there be in Australia vs Brazil?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Australia vs Brazil?

Our predicted score is Australia 0–2 Brazil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Australia vs Brazil?

Australia vs Brazil (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Accor Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.