17:00 WAT, Tuesday 29 September: Russia v Iran in the Friendlies, played at Kazan Arena.
Current form
Russia, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Trinidad and Tobago, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Iran, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Uzbekistan, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Russia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Iran.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Russia 1.8 xG, Iran 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Russia 57%, draw 21%, Iran 22%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.79.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Russia 1–1 Iran. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Russia57%fair 1.75 · @1.82
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.48
Iran22%fair 4.65 · @4.20
2.77Expected goals
1.78Russia xG
0.98Iran xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Russia 1.8 – 1.0 Iran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Russia to win✓
57%
1.75
1.82
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.79
Draw no bet
Russia (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Iran +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.06
First team to score
Russia to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Russia ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Russia / FT Russia✓
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Russia – last 5
WWLDW
9 Jun
vs Trinidad and Tobago
3–0
W
5 Jun
vs Burkina Faso
3–0
W
28 May
@ Egypt
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Mali
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Nicaragua
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Iran – last 6
LDDDWW
24 Sep
@ Uzbekistan
1–3
L
27 Jun
@ Egypt
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Belgium
0–0
D
16 Jun
vs New Zealand
2–2
D
29 May
vs Gambia
3–1
W
31 Mar
@ Costa Rica
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Russia and Iran.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Russia vs Iran?
On our numbers Russia have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Iran 22%.
How many goals will there be in Russia vs Iran?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Russia vs Iran?
Our predicted score is Russia 1–1 Iran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Russia vs Iran?
Russia vs Iran (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kazan Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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