Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
1
Value bet: Mashuk-KMV to win @ 1.89 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMashuk-KMV to win ✗57% · @1.89
Double chanceMashuk-KMV or draw ✓83% · @1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.63
Mashuk-KMV vs Kaluga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Second League A Fall Season Gold brings Mashuk-KMV against Kaluga at Central Stadium. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Mashuk-KMV are 6th, lower half, on 21 points after 17 matches; Kaluga are 10th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Mashuk-KMV, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Astrakhan, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Kaluga, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Iskra Smolensk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Kaluga 3–0 Mashuk-KMV. The last 2 head-to-heads: Mashuk-KMV 0 wins, Kaluga 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mashuk-KMV 1.2 xG, Kaluga 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mashuk-KMV 57%, draw 27%, Kaluga 17%.
Lower-risk option: Mashuk-KMV or draw (83%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.74.
Price worth noting: Mashuk-KMV to win @1.89 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mashuk-KMV 1–0 Kaluga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mashuk-KMV57%fair 1.77 · @1.89
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.02
Kaluga17%fair 5.94 · @3.95
1.75Expected goals
1.25Mashuk-KMV xG
0.51Kaluga xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
0–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mashuk-KMV 1.2 – 0.5 Kaluga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Mashuk-KMV vs Kaluga?
On our numbers Mashuk-KMV have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kaluga 17%.
How many goals will there be in Mashuk-KMV vs Kaluga?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mashuk-KMV vs Kaluga?
Our predicted score is Mashuk-KMV 1–0 Kaluga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Mashuk-KMV vs Kaluga?
Mashuk-KMV vs Kaluga (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
