Rodina Moskva II 59%Draw 26%Dinamo Bryansk 15%Expected goals 1.56 – 0.66
85%
Betarazi pick
Rodina Moskva II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
1
Value bet: Rodina Moskva II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRodina Moskva II to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceRodina Moskva II or draw ✓85% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Rodina Moskva II vs Dinamo Bryansk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Rodina Moskva II v Dinamo Bryansk in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, played at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina. In the table, Rodina Moskva II are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 17 matches; Dinamo Bryansk are 8th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rodina Moskva II, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kaluga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Dinamo Bryansk, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Znamya Noginsk, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva II 1.6 xG, Dinamo Bryansk 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva II 59%, draw 26%, Dinamo Bryansk 15%.
Lower-risk option: Rodina Moskva II or draw (85%) at 1.21.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.76.
Price worth noting: Rodina Moskva II to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rodina Moskva II or draw (85%, odds 1.21 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva II 1–0 Dinamo Bryansk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rodina Moskva II59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.16
Dinamo Bryansk15%fair 6.52 · @3.52
2.23Expected goals
1.56Rodina Moskva II xG
0.66Dinamo Bryansk xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva II 1.6 – 0.7 Dinamo Bryansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rodina Moskva II to win✓
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Rodina Moskva II or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.76
Draw no bet
Rodina Moskva II (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Dinamo Bryansk +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Rodina Moskva II to score first
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rodina Moskva II / FT Rodina Moskva II✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Rodina Moskva II – last 6
DWDWWL
8 Aug
@ Kaluga
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Novosibirsk
3–1
W
25 Jul
vs Dinamo Vladivostok
0–0
D
19 Jul
vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2–1
W
13 Jun
@ Torpedo Miass
3–0
W
7 Jun
vs Tekstilshchik
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dinamo Bryansk – last 6
LWWLDW
12 Aug
@ Znamya Noginsk
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Novosibirsk
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Dinamo Vladivostok
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0–4
L
19 Jul
@ Mashuk-KMV
0–0
D
14 Jun
vs Dinamo Stavropol
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rodina Moskva II and Dinamo Bryansk.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva II vs Dinamo Bryansk?
Our pick is Rodina Moskva II or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Rodina Moskva II vs Dinamo Bryansk?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva II have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dinamo Bryansk 15%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva II vs Dinamo Bryansk?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva II vs Dinamo Bryansk?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva II 1–0 Dinamo Bryansk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva II vs Dinamo Bryansk?
Rodina Moskva II vs Dinamo Bryansk (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
