Rodina Moskva II 65%Draw 22%Mashuk-KMV 13%Expected goals 1.91 – 0.72
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Rodina Moskva II to win @ 1.66 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRodina Moskva II to win ✓65% · @1.66
Double chanceRodina Moskva II or draw ✓87% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.47
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Rodina Moskva II vs Mashuk-KMV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Rodina Moskva II v Mashuk-KMV in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, played at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina. In the table, Rodina Moskva II are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 17 matches; Mashuk-KMV are 6th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Rodina Moskva II, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Dinamo Kirov, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mashuk-KMV, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Novosibirsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Rodina Moskva II, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Mashuk-KMV.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Mashuk-KMV 2–2 Rodina Moskva II. The last 2 head-to-heads: Rodina Moskva II 0 wins, Mashuk-KMV 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva II 1.9 xG, Mashuk-KMV 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva II 65%, draw 22%, Mashuk-KMV 13%.
Lower-risk option: Rodina Moskva II or draw (87%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.47.
Price worth noting: Rodina Moskva II to win @1.66 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva II 1–0 Mashuk-KMV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rodina Moskva II65%fair 1.54 · @1.66
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.52
Mashuk-KMV13%fair 7.72 · @4.45
2.63Expected goals
1.91Rodina Moskva II xG
0.72Mashuk-KMV xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva II 1.9 – 0.7 Mashuk-KMV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva II vs Mashuk-KMV?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Rodina Moskva II vs Mashuk-KMV?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva II have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mashuk-KMV 13%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva II vs Mashuk-KMV?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva II vs Mashuk-KMV?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva II 1–0 Mashuk-KMV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva II vs Mashuk-KMV?
Rodina Moskva II vs Mashuk-KMV (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
