Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.61 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.61Odds
1
Value bet: Novosibirsk to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNovosibirsk to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.41
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Novosibirsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Second League A Fall Season Gold brings Novosibirsk against Alaniya Vladikavkaz at Stadion Spartak. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Novosibirsk are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 17 matches; Alaniya Vladikavkaz are 4th (among the top four) with 23. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Novosibirsk, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Mashuk-KMV, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Alaniya Vladikavkaz, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dinamo Vladivostok, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Alaniya Vladikavkaz, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Novosibirsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novosibirsk 1.8 xG, Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novosibirsk 56%, draw 18%, Alaniya Vladikavkaz 26%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.41.
Price worth noting: Novosibirsk to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.61). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novosibirsk 1–1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novosibirsk56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @3.75
Alaniya Vladikavkaz26%fair 3.89 · @3.10
2.83Expected goals
1.76Novosibirsk xG
1.08Alaniya Vladikavkaz xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Novosibirsk 1.8 – 1.1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novosibirsk to win✗
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.41
Draw no bet
Novosibirsk (draw no bet)
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Alaniya Vladikavkaz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.61
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.21
First team to score
Novosibirsk to score first✗
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novosibirsk / FT Novosibirsk✗
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Novosibirsk – last 6
LLDDDL
6 Sep
@ Mashuk-KMV
1–3
L
30 Aug
vs Dinamo Kirov
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ FK Sokol Saratov
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Volgar Astrakhan
2–2
D
12 Aug
@ KDV
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Dinamo Bryansk
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz – last 6
DDDWDL
6 Sep
vs Dinamo Vladivostok
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Kaluga
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Mashuk-KMV
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Dinamo Kirov
2–0
W
13 Aug
@ Spartak Nalchik
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ FK Sokol Saratov
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novosibirsk and Alaniya Vladikavkaz.
What is the prediction for Novosibirsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.61.
Who will win Novosibirsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
On our numbers Novosibirsk have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Alaniya Vladikavkaz 26%.
How many goals will there be in Novosibirsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novosibirsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
Our predicted score is Novosibirsk 1–1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Novosibirsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
Novosibirsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
