Value bet: Dinamo Kirov to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDinamo Kirov to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceDinamo Kirov or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.49
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗22% · fair 4.64
Kaluga vs Dinamo Kirov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Kaluga v Dinamo Kirov in the Second League A Fall Season Gold, played at Orbita stadium. In the table, Kaluga are 10th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 17 matches; Dinamo Kirov are 1st (leading the league) with 34. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kaluga, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Novosibirsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Dinamo Kirov, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FK Sokol Saratov, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Dinamo Kirov, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Kaluga.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Dinamo Kirov 1–0 Kaluga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kaluga 0.5 xG, Dinamo Kirov 1.4 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kaluga 14%, draw 23%, Dinamo Kirov 63%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.49.
Price worth noting: Dinamo Kirov to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaluga 0–1 Dinamo Kirov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kaluga14%fair 6.94 · @4.50
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.04
Dinamo Kirov63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
1.88Expected goals
0.47Kaluga xG
1.41Dinamo Kirov xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–122%
0–215%
0–015%
1–110%
0–37%
1–27%
From our goals model: Kaluga 0.5 – 1.4 Dinamo Kirov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kaluga vs Dinamo Kirov?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Kaluga vs Dinamo Kirov?
On our numbers Kaluga have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dinamo Kirov 63%.
How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs Dinamo Kirov?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs Dinamo Kirov?
Our predicted score is Kaluga 0–1 Dinamo Kirov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Kaluga vs Dinamo Kirov?
Kaluga vs Dinamo Kirov (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Orbita stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
