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Rodina Moskva II v Novosibirsk: numbers & prediction

Second League A Fall Season Gold · Russia · Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina
1–3
FT
Rodina Moskva II 57%Draw 22%Novosibirsk 21% Expected goals 1.72 – 0.91
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultRodina Moskva II to win ✗57% · @1.68
Double chanceRodina Moskva II or draw ✗79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rodina Moskva II welcome Novosibirsk to Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina for a Second League A Fall Season Gold fixture on Sunday 27 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Rodina Moskva II are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 17 matches; Novosibirsk are 5th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Rodina Moskva II, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dinamo Vladivostok, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Novosibirsk, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kaluga, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Rodina Moskva II, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Novosibirsk.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Novosibirsk 1–3 Rodina Moskva II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Rodina Moskva II 1 win, Novosibirsk 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva II 1.7 xG, Novosibirsk 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva II 57%, draw 22%, Novosibirsk 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Rodina Moskva II or draw (79%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.72.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva II 1–1 Novosibirsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rodina Moskva II57%fair 1.74 · @1.68
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.55
Novosibirsk21%fair 4.81 · @4.10
2.64Expected goals
1.72Rodina Moskva II xG
0.91Novosibirsk xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Rodina Moskva II 1.7 – 0.9 Novosibirsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRodina Moskva II to win ✗57%1.741.68
Double chanceRodina Moskva II or draw ✗79%1.261.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.72
Draw no betRodina Moskva II (draw no bet) ✗73%1.36–
Asian handicapNovosibirsk +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.991.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.31
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreRodina Moskva II to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rodina Moskva II / FT Rodina Moskva II ✗35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.30–

Recent results

Rodina Moskva II – last 6

WWLWWW
20 Sep@ Dinamo Vladivostok1–0W
12 Sepvs Mashuk-KMV3–1W
5 Sep@ Dinamo Kirov2–3L
30 Augvs FK Sokol Saratov4–0W
22 Aug@ Volgar Astrakhan1–0W
16 Augvs Dinamo Bryansk3–1W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Novosibirsk – last 6

WDLLDD
20 Sepvs Kaluga3–0W
12 Sepvs Alaniya Vladikavkaz0–0D
6 Sep@ Mashuk-KMV1–3L
30 Augvs Dinamo Kirov0–1L
22 Aug@ FK Sokol Saratov2–2D
16 Augvs Volgar Astrakhan2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Novosibirsk v Rodina Moskva II1–3
17 May 2026Rodina Moskva II v Novosibirsk1–1
29 Mar 2026Novosibirsk v Rodina Moskva II1–0
Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk head-to-head page →

Second League A Fall Season Gold table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Kirov171043+1234
2Rodina Moskva II17944+831
3Dinamo Vladivostok17665+524
4Alaniya Vladikavkaz17584+323
5Novosibirsk17575-222
6Mashuk-KMV173122+321
7FK Sokol Saratov17476-619
8Dinamo Bryansk17548-1019
9Volgar Astrakhan171124-415
10Kaluga17188-911

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?

On our numbers Rodina Moskva II have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Novosibirsk 21%.

How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?

Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva II 1–1 Novosibirsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?

Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.