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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

MSV Duisburg v Würzburger Kickers: numbers & prediction

3. Liga · Germany · Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
3–0
FT
MSV Duisburg 68%Draw 20%Würzburger Kickers 12% Expected goals 2.55 – 1.06
83%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultMSV Duisburg to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceMSV Duisburg or draw ✓88% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73

MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: MSV Duisburg v Würzburger Kickers in the 3. Liga, played at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena. In the table, MSV Duisburg are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 13 matches; Würzburger Kickers are 15th (lower half) with 14. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

MSV Duisburg, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to SV Elversberg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Würzburger Kickers, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to 1. FC Köln, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours Würzburger Kickers, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for MSV Duisburg.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give MSV Duisburg 2.6 xG, Würzburger Kickers 1.1 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – MSV Duisburg 68%, draw 20%, Würzburger Kickers 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: MSV Duisburg 2–1 Würzburger Kickers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

MSV Duisburg68%fair 1.47 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.33
Würzburger Kickers12%fair 8.41 · @7.25
3.61Expected goals
2.55MSV Duisburg xG
1.06Würzburger Kickers xG
60%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: MSV Duisburg 2.6 – 1.1 Würzburger Kickers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMSV Duisburg to win ✓68%1.471.44
Double chanceMSV Duisburg or draw ✓88%1.131.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.75
Draw no betMSV Duisburg (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapMSV Duisburg -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.211.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.751.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.341.20
First team to scoreMSV Duisburg to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultMSV Duisburg ahead at half-time ✓52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT MSV Duisburg / FT MSV Duisburg ✓47%2.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.73–

Recent results

MSV Duisburg – last 6

LWWDDL
22 Augvs SV Elversberg1–3L
15 Aug@ Verl4–2W
8 Augvs SV Meppen3–0W
1 Aug@ Sparta Rotterdam0–0D
25 Jul@ Arminia Bielefeld1–1D
22 Julvs Beerschot VA2–4L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Würzburger Kickers – last 6

LWDWWW
24 Augvs 1. FC Köln1–2L
14 Augvs SV Wehen4–0W
8 Aug@ FC Ingolstadt 042–2D
30 Julvs FSV Frankfurt2–1W
11 Julvs SG Wattenscheid 094–1W
1 Junvs Lokomotive Leipzig2–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between MSV Duisburg and Würzburger Kickers.

MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers head-to-head page →

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln13922+1829
2MSV Duisburg13922+1529
3Rot-Weiß Essen13832+827
4SV Wehen13634+921
5FC Ingolstadt 0413634021
6FC Saarbrücken13625+520
7Alemannia Aachen13625020
8Waldhof Mannheim13616+319
9Hoffenheim II13616+219
10Hansa Rostock13544019
11SV Meppen13535018
12Stuttgart II13535-118
13Fortuna Düsseldorf13445-316
14Preußen Münster13436-415
15Würzburger Kickers13427-814
16SSV Jahn Regensburg13346013
17Verl13337-1012
18SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach13337-1612
19Fortuna Köln13247-610
20Havelse13247-1210

More 3. Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers?

On our numbers MSV Duisburg have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Würzburger Kickers 12%.

How many goals will there be in MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers?

Our predicted score is MSV Duisburg 2–1 Würzburger Kickers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers?

MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.