SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
MSV Duisburg travel to face SSV Jahn Regensburg on Saturday 5 September in the 3. Liga, with Jahnstadion Regensburg the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, SSV Jahn Regensburg are 16th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; MSV Duisburg are 2nd (among the top four) with 29. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
SSV Jahn Regensburg, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Hoffenheim II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
MSV Duisburg, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Würzburger Kickers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SSV Jahn Regensburg 1.7 xG, MSV Duisburg 2.6 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 81% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SSV Jahn Regensburg 23%, draw 21%, MSV Duisburg 57%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–2 MSV Duisburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SSV Jahn Regensburg23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.60
MSV Duisburg57%fair 1.77 · @1.85
4.33Expected goals
1.70SSV Jahn Regensburg xG
2.63MSV Duisburg xG
69%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–37%
2–27%
1–16%
2–36%
2–15%
From our goals model: SSV Jahn Regensburg 1.7 – 2.6 MSV Duisburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MSV Duisburg to win✓
57%
1.77
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.50
Draw no bet
MSV Duisburg (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
SSV Jahn Regensburg +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
First team to score
MSV Duisburg to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
MSV Duisburg ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MSV Duisburg / FT MSV Duisburg✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.92
–
Recent results
SSV Jahn Regensburg – last 6
LLWWWL
29 Aug
@ Hoffenheim II
1–5
L
16 Aug
vs FC Saarbrücken
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ FC Viktoria Köln
5–2
W
1 Aug
vs SSV Ulm 1846
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Stuttgarter Kickers
2–1
W
15 Jul
vs Vilzing
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
MSV Duisburg – last 6
WLWWDD
29 Aug
vs Würzburger Kickers
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs SV Elversberg
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Verl
4–2
W
8 Aug
vs SV Meppen
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ Sparta Rotterdam
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Arminia Bielefeld
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SSV Jahn Regensburg and MSV Duisburg.
What is the prediction for SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg?
On our numbers SSV Jahn Regensburg have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 21% and MSV Duisburg 57%.
How many goals will there be in SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg?
Our predicted score is SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–2 MSV Duisburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg?
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Jahnstadion Regensburg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
