Value bet: Rot-Weiß Essen to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRot-Weiß Essen to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rot-Weiß Essen welcome FC Viktoria Köln to Stadion an der Hafenstrasse for a 3. Liga fixture on Saturday 5 September (15:30 WAT). In the table, Rot-Weiß Essen are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 13 matches; FC Viktoria Köln are 1st (leading the league) with 29. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rot-Weiß Essen, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with SV Wehen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FC Viktoria Köln, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Preußen Münster, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours FC Viktoria Köln, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Rot-Weiß Essen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rot-Weiß Essen 2.5 xG, FC Viktoria Köln 1.5 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rot-Weiß Essen 62%, draw 16%, FC Viktoria Köln 22%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Rot-Weiß Essen to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rot-Weiß Essen 2–1 FC Viktoria Köln. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rot-Weiß Essen62%fair 1.61 · @1.80
Draw16%fair 6.38 · @3.80
FC Viktoria Köln22%fair 4.53 · @3.50
4.00Expected goals
2.54Rot-Weiß Essen xG
1.46FC Viktoria Köln xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Rot-Weiß Essen 2.5 – 1.5 FC Viktoria Köln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rot-Weiß Essen to win✓
62%
1.61
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.44
Draw no bet
Rot-Weiß Essen (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Rot-Weiß Essen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Rot-Weiß Essen to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Rot-Weiß Essen ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rot-Weiß Essen / FT Rot-Weiß Essen✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Rot-Weiß Essen – last 6
DWWLLL
29 Aug
@ SV Wehen
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs FC St. Pauli
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Havelse
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ FC Saarbrücken
2–5
L
1 Aug
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Viktoria Köln – last 6
WDWLLW
30 Aug
vs Preußen Münster
4–1
W
22 Aug
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Stuttgart II
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
2–5
L
2 Aug
vs Kaiserslautern II
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Standard Liege
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rot-Weiß Essen and FC Viktoria Köln.
What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln?
On our numbers Rot-Weiß Essen have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and FC Viktoria Köln 22%.
How many goals will there be in Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln?
Our predicted score is Rot-Weiß Essen 2–1 FC Viktoria Köln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln?
Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion an der Hafenstrasse.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
