Fortuna Düsseldorf v FC Saarbrücken Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFortuna Düsseldorf to win ✗44% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fortuna Düsseldorf welcome FC Saarbrücken to Merkur Spielarena for a 3. Liga fixture on Saturday 17 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, Fortuna Düsseldorf are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; FC Saarbrücken are 6th (upper half) with 20.

Current form

Fortuna Düsseldorf, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Preußen Münster, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

FC Saarbrücken, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to MSV Duisburg, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Fortuna Düsseldorf, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for FC Saarbrücken.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.7 xG, FC Saarbrücken 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Fortuna Düsseldorf 44%, draw 21%, FC Saarbrücken 35%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–1 FC Saarbrücken. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fortuna Düsseldorf44%fair 2.25 · @2.05

Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50

FC Saarbrücken35%fair 2.88 · @2.90

3.17Expected goals

1.70Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

1.47FC Saarbrücken xG

65%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–19%

1–28%

1–07%

2–27%

0–16%

From our goals model: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.7 – 1.5 FC Saarbrücken expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Fortuna Düsseldorf to win ✗	44%	2.25	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.26	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	65%	1.54	1.50
Draw no bet	Fortuna Düsseldorf (draw no bet) ✗	56%	1.78	–
Asian handicap	FC Saarbrücken +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	82%	1.21	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	–
First team to score	Fortuna Düsseldorf to score first	51%	1.95	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	38%	2.61	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Fortuna Düsseldorf / FT Fortuna Düsseldorf ✗	26%	3.85	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.22	–

Fortuna Düsseldorf – last 6

WDLWWD

14 Oct	@ Preußen Münster	2–1	W
11 Oct	vs Verl	2–2	D
19 Sep	@ Alemannia Aachen	0–1	L
15 Sep	@ SSV Jahn Regensburg	2–1	W
12 Sep	vs MSV Duisburg	2–1	W
6 Sep	@ Fortuna Köln	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

FC Saarbrücken – last 6

LDWWDL

13 Oct	vs MSV Duisburg	2–4	L
10 Oct	@ Fortuna Köln	0–0	D
2 Oct	vs Nancy	2–1	W
19 Sep	vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	2–1	W
16 Sep	@ Preußen Münster	3–3	D
12 Sep	vs FC Ingolstadt 04	0–1	L

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Viktoria Köln	13	9	2	2	+18	29
2	MSV Duisburg	13	9	2	2	+15	29
3	Rot-Weiß Essen	13	8	3	2	+8	27
4	SV Wehen	13	6	3	4	+9	21
5	FC Ingolstadt 04	13	6	3	4	0	21
6	FC Saarbrücken	13	6	2	5	+5	20
7	Alemannia Aachen	13	6	2	5	0	20
8	Waldhof Mannheim	13	6	1	6	+3	19
9	Hoffenheim II	13	6	1	6	+2	19
10	Hansa Rostock	13	5	4	4	0	19
11	SV Meppen	13	5	3	5	0	18
12	Stuttgart II	13	5	3	5	-1	18
13	Fortuna Düsseldorf	13	4	4	5	-3	16
14	Preußen Münster	13	4	3	6	-4	15
15	Würzburger Kickers	13	4	2	7	-8	14
16	SSV Jahn Regensburg	13	3	4	6	0	13
17	Verl	13	3	3	7	-10	12
18	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	13	3	3	7	-16	12
19	Fortuna Köln	13	2	4	7	-6	10
20	Havelse	13	2	4	7	-12	10

Team

Pts

+18

+15

-1

-3

-4

-8

-10

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

-16

Fortuna Köln

-6

Havelse

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken?

On our numbers Fortuna Düsseldorf have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Saarbrücken 35%.

How many goals will there be in Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken?

Our predicted score is Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–1 FC Saarbrücken, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken?

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Merkur Spielarena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Fortuna Düsseldorf v FC Saarbrücken: numbers & prediction